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Senegal – Iraq Prediction and Betting Tips

Senegal national football team logo
Senegal
L L D L W
vs
15:00
26 Jun · Fri
Iraq national football team logo
Iraq
L L L D W
Kick-off: 15:00 local (26 Jun) · 19:00 UTC Venue: BMO Field Referee: A. Taylor
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Over: 2.5 Over 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.57odds

A must-attack Senegal against an already-eliminated, leaky Iraq points to a game that clears 2.5 goals.

Back this tip
Win 1 68%
Senegal to win
1.24 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 62%
Senegal over 1.5 goals
1.31 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 64%
Iraq under 1.5 goals
1.12 odds
Total:Over: 1.5 80%
Over 1.5 goals
1.16 odds
Senegal and Iraq meet at BMO Field in a Group I finale that means little in the final standings yet still carries a flicker of hope for Senegal, with both group fixtures kicking off at the same time.

Senegal's last roll of the dice

Senegal arrive pointless after a 1-3 defeat to France and a 2-3 loss to Norway, and their only route onward is a heavy win allied to favourable results among the other third-placed teams across the tournament. The talent is unquestionably there — they carried a genuine threat against Norway and will feel they should have taken more from their two outings — but defensive lapses have cost them dearly. Expect the Lions of Teranga to attack from the first whistle and chase the kind of margin that keeps their campaign alive, throwing numbers forward in a way they have not quite managed so far. They arrive with no major absentees reported.

Iraq already out

Iraq are eliminated after heavy defeats to Norway (1-4) and France (0-3), shipping seven goals across the two games and rarely threatening at the other end. With nothing but pride to play for, they will look to make life awkward for Senegal and frustrate where they can, but a fragile defence faces a long afternoon against opponents compelled to commit everything to attack. For Iraq, it is a chance to sign off with a performance that softens a difficult campaign.

Our forecast: goals as Senegal chase a big win

With Senegal forced onto the front foot and Iraq's defence repeatedly breached, our forecast leans firmly toward goals: the total over 2.5 reads as the value angle. Around it, a Senegal win reflects the clear gulf in quality, Senegal over 1.5 fits their need for a comfortable margin, and Iraq are tipped to stay under 1.5 with little going forward.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
SenegalDrawIraq
Senegal
Home win
76%
Draw
No bet
16%
Iraq
Away win
8%
Senegal — recent matches
23 Jun 2026 Norway 2 — 3 L
16 Jun 2026 France 1 — 3 L
09 Jun 2026 Saudi Arabia 0 — 0 D
31 May 2026 USA 2 — 3 L
31 Mar 2026 Gambia 3 — 1 W
Iraq — recent matches
22 Jun 2026 France 0 — 3 L
16 Jun 2026 Norway 1 — 4 L
10 Jun 2026 Venezuela 0 — 2 L
04 Jun 2026 Spain 1 — 1 D
29 May 2026 Andorra 1 — 0 W

Squad Availability

✚ Injured · ■ Suspended

Senegal

✚É. Mendy

Iraq

No reported absences

Key Players

Senegal
Sadio Mané LW Al-Nassr · 100+ caps · 40 G
Kalidou Koulibaly CB Al-Hilal · 80+ caps · Captain
Édouard Mendy GK Al-Ahli · 35+ caps
Ismaïla Sarr RW Crystal Palace · 65+ caps
Nicolas Jackson ST Bayern Munich · 20+ caps
Iraq
Aymen Hussein ST Al-Wakrah · 50+ caps · 18 G · Captain
Zidane Iqbal CM Utrecht · 10+ caps
Ali Al-Hamadi ST Ipswich · 15+ caps
Jalal Hassan GK Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya

Injuries

Senegal
None reported
Iraq
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: BMO Field
Capacity: 45,000
Toronto's BMO Field, expanded for the tournament, is an open-air ground with mild early-summer conditions that suit a high tempo.
Weather: Mid-June Toronto: mild, ~20–25°C.

Suspensions

Senegal
None reported
Iraq
None reported

Expected Lineups

Pending
⏳

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Group Standings

# Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 France 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Norway 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Senegal ★ 2 0 0 2 -3 0
4 Iraq ★ 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Odds

Senegal vs Iraq
40 winning forecasts · 67% accuracy
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up AI’s choice Best odds 1.31 6.73 13.05 Bet now
William Hill 1.22 6.00 12.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.25 6.25 11.00 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.26 6.45 13.00 Bet now
Unibet 1.22 6.50 13.00 Bet now
Betfair 1.22 6.50 11.00 Bet now
BetVictor 1.22 6.00 12.00 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.25 6.68 11.01 Bet now

Other Group I matches

MD1
France3–1SenegalLANDEDIraq1–4NorwayLANDED
MD2
France3–0IraqLANDEDNorway3–2SenegalLANDED
MD3
NorwayvFranceJun 26 · 19:00 UTC

Team’s other matches

Senegal
France3–1SenegalLANDEDNorway3–2SenegalLANDED
Iraq
Iraq1–4NorwayLANDEDFrance3–0IraqLANDED

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