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France 02 Spain
14 Jul · Tue · AT&T Stadium
Our top forecastFrance or draw
✗ INCORRECT

Spain sweep past France into a first final since 2010

Spain beat France 2-0 at AT&T Stadium to reach their first World Cup final since their triumph in 2010. Mikel Oyarzabal's penalty and a Pedro Porro strike settled the “final before the final,” Spain dominant throughout for a third successive summer knockout win over France.

How it unfolded: Oyarzabal and Porro decisive

Lamine Yamal, on his 18th birthday, won a penalty that Oyarzabal converted on 22 minutes — his fifth of the tournament — as France trailed for the first time in seven games. Porro doubled it on 58, and Unai Simon kept a sixth clean sheet as Mbappe was kept quiet.

Context: a Spanish stranglehold

Spain's sixth clean sheet underlines their run under Luis de la Fuente, with Yamal the spark. France, the top-ranked side and pre-tournament favourites, are out at the semi-final stage and must settle for a third-place playoff.

The next step: Spain meet Argentina in the final

Spain reach a final with Argentina on July 19 at MetLife Stadium. Our forecast of France to avoid defeat missed, Spain winning comfortably; only the under 2.5 goals read landed.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

France – Spain Prediction and Betting Tips

France national football team logo
France
W W W W W
vs
14:00
14 Jul · Tue
Spain national football team logo
Spain
W W W W W
Kick-off: 14:00 local (14 Jul) · 19:00 UTC Venue: AT&T Stadium Referee: TBA
Top forecast + 3 supporting tips
4 picks
Top Pick
1X France or draw 60% confidence
1.37odds

France hold a narrow home edge between two unbeaten favourites, needing only to avoid a 90-minute defeat to reach extra time; the double chance is the measured play.

Back this tip
Win 1 52%
France to win
2.39 odds
Total:Under: 2.5 54%
Under 2.5 goals
1.93 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 53%
Spain under 1.5 goals
1.46 odds
France face Spain at AT&T Stadium in Arlington in a semi-final many see as the tournament's headline act — two unbeaten sides and, arguably, its two finest teams. France, under Didier Deschamps, boast Kylian Mbappe level with Messi in the Golden Boot race and arrived by beating Morocco 2-0 in a 2022 semi-final rematch. Spain, under Luis de la Fuente, revolve around the teenage brilliance of Lamine Yamal and edged Belgium through Mikel Merino's latest late winner. Expect fine margins between two ball-dominant, deep squads. Our forecast favours France to avoid defeat, with a draw heading to extra time.
France — recent matches
09 Jul 2026 Morocco 2 — 0 W
04 Jul 2026 Paraguay 1 — 0 W
30 Jun 2026 Sweden 3 — 0 W
26 Jun 2026 Norway 4 — 1 W
22 Jun 2026 Iraq 3 — 0 W
Spain — recent matches
10 Jul 2026 Belgium 2 — 1 W
06 Jul 2026 Portugal 1 — 0 W
02 Jul 2026 Austria 3 — 0 W
27 Jun 2026 Uruguay 1 — 0 W
21 Jun 2026 Saudi Arabia 4 — 0 W
05.06.2025 Spain vs France 5 — 4
09.07.2024 Spain vs France 2 — 1
10.10.2021 Spain vs France 1 — 2
28.03.2017 France vs Spain 0 — 2
23.06.2012 Spain vs France 2 — 0

Key Players

France
Kylian Mbappé ST Real Madrid · 85+ caps · 51 G · Captain
Antoine Griezmann AM Atlético · 135+ caps · 44 G
Aurélien Tchouaméni CDM Real Madrid · 35+ caps
Ousmane Dembélé RW PSG · 50+ caps · 6 G
William Saliba CB Arsenal · 20+ caps
Spain
Lamine Yamal RW Barcelona · 20+ caps · 7 G
Nico Williams LW Barcelona · 25+ caps
Pedri CM Barcelona · 30+ caps
Rodri CDM Man City · 60+ caps
Álvaro Morata ST Como · 80+ caps · 36 G · Captain

Injuries

France
None reported
Spain
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: AT&T Stadium
Capacity: 80,000
AT&T Stadium's retractable roof is expected to stay shut against the Texas summer, air-conditioning the arena and removing heat as a variable.
Weather: Roof likely closed; climate-controlled (outside ~34°C).

Suspensions

France
None reported
Spain
None reported

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