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Belgium 22 Senegal
01 Jul · Wed · Lumen Field
Our top forecastBelgium or draw
✓ CORRECT

Tielemans' record-late winner completes Belgium comeback

Belgium came from two goals down to beat Senegal 3-2 after extra time at Lumen Field, reaching the Round of 16. Level at 2-2 after 90 minutes, the tie was won when Youri Tielemans converted a penalty at 124 minutes and 44 seconds — the latest winning goal in World Cup history. It capped a stunning recovery and broke Senegalese hearts at the very last.

How it unfolded: Senegal soar, Belgium roar back

Habib Diarra put Senegal ahead on 25 minutes from the rebound after Sarr's header hit the post. Ismaila Sarr made it 2-0 on 51, chesting down a Niakhate long ball for his fourth goal of the finals. Belgium, having withdrawn De Bruyne and Doku before the hour, hit back through substitute Romelu Lukaku on 86 and a Tielemans header on 89 to force extra time, before Tielemans won it from the spot at 124:44 after a VAR-checked Camara foul.

Context: history and heartbreak

Tielemans' winner is the latest goal ever to settle a World Cup match. Belgium reach the last 16 for the third time in four tournaments; Senegal, two up and superb through Sarr, suffer one of the round's cruellest exits.

The next step: Belgium meet USA

Belgium advance to face the United States on July 6 in Seattle. With the score level at 2-2 after 90 minutes, our forecast of Belgium to avoid defeat landed, the Red Devils completing the job in extra time.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Belgium – Senegal Prediction and Betting Tips

Belgium national football team logo
Belgium
W D D W W
vs
13:00
01 Jul · Wed
Senegal national football team logo
Senegal
W L L D L
Kick-off: 13:00 local (1 Jul) · 20:00 UTC Venue: Lumen Field Referee: S. Martinez
Top forecast + 3 supporting tips
4 picks
Top Pick
1X Belgium or draw 60% confidence
1.38odds

Belgium's in-form attack and pedigree edge the market; Senegal's power keeps it close, so backing Belgium to avoid defeat is the measured play.

Back this tip
Total:Over: 2.5 56%
Over 2.5 goals
1.95 odds
Win 1 48%
Belgium to win
2.17 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 55%
Belgium over 1.5 goals
2.12 odds
This Round of 32 tie at Lumen Field brings together two sides in form. Belgium topped Group G with a five-goal flourish, their record scorer firing under Rudi Garcia, while Senegal blasted into the knockouts as a best third-placed team with a five-goal demolition of their own. Expect an open, high-quality contest: Belgium's pedigree and craft against the pace and power of Pape Thiaw's Senegal. With a Round of 16 place on the line and a draw sending the tie to extra time, Belgium are slight favourites. Our forecast narrowly favours Belgium, in a tie that has the makings of a goal-filled encounter.
Belgium — recent matches
27 Jun 2026 New Zealand 5 — 1 W
21 Jun 2026 Iran 0 — 0 D
15 Jun 2026 Egypt 1 — 1 D
06 Jun 2026 Tunisia 5 — 0 W
02 Jun 2026 Croatia 2 — 0 W
Senegal — recent matches
26 Jun 2026 Iraq 5 — 0 W
23 Jun 2026 Norway 2 — 3 L
16 Jun 2026 France 1 — 3 L
09 Jun 2026 Saudi Arabia 0 — 0 D
31 May 2026 USA 2 — 3 L

Squad Availability

Injured · Suspended

Belgium

Z. Debast

Senegal

É. Mendy

Key Players

Belgium
Kevin De Bruyne AM Napoli · 110+ caps · 30 G · Captain
Romelu Lukaku ST Napoli · 110+ caps · 85 G
Jeremy Doku LW Man City · 25+ caps
Youri Tielemans CM Aston Villa · 75+ caps
Senegal
Sadio Mané LW Al-Nassr · 100+ caps · 40 G
Kalidou Koulibaly CB Al-Hilal · 80+ caps · Captain
Édouard Mendy GK Al-Ahli · 35+ caps
Ismaïla Sarr RW Crystal Palace · 65+ caps
Nicolas Jackson ST Bayern Munich · 20+ caps

Injuries

Belgium
None reported
Senegal
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Lumen Field
Capacity: 69,000
Seattle's Lumen Field is open-air with a famously loud crowd; the mild Pacific-Northwest climate keeps conditions fresh.
Weather: Mid-June Seattle: mild, ~18–23°C.

Suspensions

Belgium
None reported
Senegal
None reported

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