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🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

France – Sweden Prediction and Betting Tips

France national football team logo
France
W W W W L
vs
17:00
30 Jun · Tue
Sweden national football team logo
Sweden
D L W D L
Kick-off: 17:00 local (30 Jun) · 21:00 UTC Venue: MetLife Stadium Referee: TBA
Top forecast + 3 supporting tips
4 picks
Top Pick
Win 1 France to win 70% confidence
1.27odds

France's depth of attacking quality and group-best goal difference make them strong favourites to see off a containment-minded Sweden in regulation; a shock here would be one of the round's biggest.

Back this tip
1X 80%
France or draw
1.11 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 58%
France over 1.5 goals
1.31 odds
Total:Over: 2.5 54%
Over 2.5 goals
1.49 odds
This Round of 32 tie at MetLife Stadium pits the Group I winners against a best third-placed qualifier in a meeting of pedigree and pragmatism. France, who topped their group with a perfect record and a plus-eight goal difference, carry the draw's strongest attacking threat under Didier Deschamps, while Sweden — through on the best-third reckoning — will look to stay compact and counter under Jon Dahl Tomasson. With a Round of 16 place on the line and a draw sending the tie to extra time, France are heavy favourites. Our forecast backs France to win, though Sweden's discipline and long-range threat make them dangerous if the tie stays level.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
FranceDrawSweden
France
Home win
74%
Draw
No bet
18%
Sweden
Away win
8%
France — recent matches
26 Jun 2026 Norway 4 — 1 W
22 Jun 2026 Iraq 3 — 0 W
16 Jun 2026 Senegal 3 — 1 W
08 Jun 2026 Northern Ireland 3 — 1 W
04 Jun 2026 Ivory Coast 1 — 2 L
Sweden — recent matches
25 Jun 2026 Japan 1 — 1 D
20 Jun 2026 Netherlands 1 — 5 L
15 Jun 2026 Tunisia 5 — 1 W
04 Jun 2026 Greece 2 — 2 D
01 Jun 2026 Norway 1 — 3 L
17.11.2020 France vs Sweden 4 — 2
05.09.2020 Sweden vs France 0 — 1
09.06.2017 Sweden vs France 2 — 1
11.11.2016 France vs Sweden 2 — 1
19.06.2012 Sweden vs France 2 — 0

Key Players

France
Kylian Mbappé ST Real Madrid · 85+ caps · 51 G · Captain
Antoine Griezmann AM Atlético · 135+ caps · 44 G
Aurélien Tchouaméni CDM Real Madrid · 35+ caps
Ousmane Dembélé RW PSG · 50+ caps · 6 G
William Saliba CB Arsenal · 20+ caps
Sweden
Alexander Isak ST Liverpool · 40+ caps · 16 G
Dejan Kulusevski RW Tottenham · 35+ caps · 7 G
Victor Lindelöf CB Aston Villa · 70+ caps · Captain
Anthony Elanga LW Newcastle · 20+ caps

Injuries

France
None reported
Sweden
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Capacity: 82,500
A vast open-air bowl — the tournament's final venue — with little cover; conditions are typically mild but the large pitch suits expansive play.
Weather: Mid-June New York area: ~24–28°C, humid.

Suspensions

France
None reported
Sweden
None reported

Expected Lineups

Pending
⏳

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Odds

France vs Sweden
47 winning forecasts · 64% accuracy
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up AI’s choice Best odds 1.32 6.40 12.05 Bet now
William Hill 1.25 5.80 9.50 Bet now
Bet365 1.27 6.00 10.00 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.27 6.35 11.25 Bet now
Unibet 1.27 5.80 11.00 Bet now
Betfair 1.25 6.00 12.00 Bet now
BetVictor 1.22 6.00 11.50 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.27 6.28 10.72 Bet now

Team’s other matches

France
France3–1SenegalLANDEDFrance3–0IraqLANDED
Sweden
Sweden5–1TunisiaLANDEDNetherlands5–1SwedenLANDED

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