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France 30 Sweden
30 Jun · Tue · MetLife Stadium
Our top forecastFrance to win
✓ CORRECT

Mbappe double sends France through and into the history books

France beat Sweden 3-0 at MetLife Stadium, a Kylian Mbappe brace lifting the captain to 18 career World Cup goals — second all-time, one behind Messi — and a record 10 knockout-stage goals, clear of Leonidas and Ronaldo. Ruthless and fluent, Les Bleus became the first side ever to score three or more in five consecutive World Cup matches, and they advance in formidable shape.

How it unfolded: Mbappe, Barcola, Mbappe

Mbappe struck on 45 minutes, curling in from a short corner after a Dembele pass. Bradley Barcola made it two on 53, thumping home after an Olise nutmeg on Lagerbielke. Mbappe completed his brace on 74, running onto an Olise through-ball and lifting it over the keeper — his third brace in four matches, with Dembele and Mbappe combining for six goals in this run.

Records tumble, and an emotional return

Mbappe drew level with Messi on six goals this tournament, blowing the Golden Boot race open, while his 10th knockout goal set a landmark. Olise notched a fifth assist — the most at a World Cup since Hassler in 1994. Didier Deschamps, back on the touchline after his mother's funeral, bowed to Mbappe at his substitution. Sweden suffered their earliest exit since 1990, Isak, Gyokeres and Elanga all misfiring.

The next step: France meet Paraguay

France advance to a Round of 16 tie with Paraguay on July 5 at Lincoln Financial Field; Sweden exit at the Round of 32. Our forecast of a France win landed emphatically in a 3-0 rout, as Les Bleus underlined their status as one of the tournament's most dangerous sides.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

France – Sweden Prediction and Betting Tips

France national football team logo
France
W W W W L
vs
17:00
30 Jun · Tue
Sweden national football team logo
Sweden
D L W D L
Kick-off: 17:00 local (30 Jun) · 21:00 UTC Venue: MetLife Stadium Referee: TBA
Top forecast + 3 supporting tips
4 picks
Top Pick
Win 1 France to win 70% confidence
1.29odds

France's depth of attacking quality and group-best goal difference make them strong favourites to see off a containment-minded Sweden in regulation; a shock here would be one of the round's biggest.

Back this tip
1X 80%
France or draw
1.17 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 58%
France over 1.5 goals
1.29 odds
Total:Over: 2.5 54%
Over 2.5 goals
1.49 odds
This Round of 32 tie at MetLife Stadium pits the Group I winners against a best third-placed qualifier in a meeting of pedigree and pragmatism. France, who topped their group with a perfect record and a plus-eight goal difference, carry the draw's strongest attacking threat under Didier Deschamps, while Sweden — through on the best-third reckoning — will look to stay compact and counter under Jon Dahl Tomasson. With a Round of 16 place on the line and a draw sending the tie to extra time, France are heavy favourites. Our forecast backs France to win, though Sweden's discipline and long-range threat make them dangerous if the tie stays level.
France — recent matches
26 Jun 2026 Norway 4 — 1 W
22 Jun 2026 Iraq 3 — 0 W
16 Jun 2026 Senegal 3 — 1 W
08 Jun 2026 Northern Ireland 3 — 1 W
04 Jun 2026 Ivory Coast 1 — 2 L
Sweden — recent matches
25 Jun 2026 Japan 1 — 1 D
20 Jun 2026 Netherlands 1 — 5 L
15 Jun 2026 Tunisia 5 — 1 W
04 Jun 2026 Greece 2 — 2 D
01 Jun 2026 Norway 1 — 3 L
17.11.2020 France vs Sweden 4 — 2
05.09.2020 Sweden vs France 0 — 1
09.06.2017 Sweden vs France 2 — 1
11.11.2016 France vs Sweden 2 — 1
19.06.2012 Sweden vs France 2 — 0

Key Players

France
Kylian Mbappé ST Real Madrid · 85+ caps · 51 G · Captain
Antoine Griezmann AM Atlético · 135+ caps · 44 G
Aurélien Tchouaméni CDM Real Madrid · 35+ caps
Ousmane Dembélé RW PSG · 50+ caps · 6 G
William Saliba CB Arsenal · 20+ caps
Sweden
Alexander Isak ST Liverpool · 40+ caps · 16 G
Dejan Kulusevski RW Tottenham · 35+ caps · 7 G
Victor Lindelöf CB Aston Villa · 70+ caps · Captain
Anthony Elanga LW Newcastle · 20+ caps

Injuries

France
None reported
Sweden
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Capacity: 82,500
A vast open-air bowl — the tournament's final venue — with little cover; conditions are typically mild but the large pitch suits expansive play.
Weather: Mid-June New York area: ~24–28°C, humid.

Suspensions

France
None reported
Sweden
None reported

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