Haaland double stuns Brazil as Norway reach first quarter-final
Norway upset five-time champions Brazil 2-1 at MetLife Stadium to reach a World Cup quarter-final for the first time ever. Erling Haaland scored twice to overturn Brazil's lead and dump Carlo Ancelotti's favourites out in a seismic result.
How it unfolded: Brazil lead, Haaland strikes twice
Brazil took the lead and looked in control, but Haaland turned the tie with two clinical finishes to move to the front of the Golden Boot race. Norway then defended with heart to protect a famous lead.
Context: a seismic upset
A shocking early exit for Brazil, the five-time champions undone by a fearless Norway. A first-ever World Cup quarter-final for Norway, inspired by a generational striker.
The next step: Norway meet England
Norway advance to a quarter-final with England — Haaland against the English defence the headline. Our forecast leaned on Brazil and was undone by a famous upset.
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World
Brazil – Norway Prediction and Betting Tips
Brazil
WWWDW
vs
20:00
05 Jul · Sun
Norway
WLWWD
Kick-off: 20:00 local (5 Jul) · 20:00 UTCVenue: MetLife Stadium, East RutherfordReferee: Ismail Elfath, USA
Top forecast + 3 supporting tips
4 picks Top Pick
1XBrazil or draw60% confidence
1.22odds
Brazil edge the market and need only avoid a 90-minute defeat to reach extra time; Norway's momentum keeps it live, so the double chance is the measured play.
Back this tip
Total:Over: 2.555%
Over 2.5 goals
1.70 odds
Win 158%
Brazil to win
1.79 odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.560%
Norway to score
1.41 odds
This Round of 16 tie at MetLife Stadium brings together the five-time champions and the tournament's breakout team. Brazil, under Carlo Ancelotti, edged past Japan but have been short of their best, while Norway reached the last 16 with the first knockout win in their history. Expect pedigree against momentum: Brazil's individual quality versus Stale Solbakken's confident, in-form side. With a quarter-final place on the line and a draw sending the tie to extra time, Brazil are favourites, but their vulnerable look and Norway's attacking threat give this real upset potential. Our forecast favours Brazil to avoid defeat, in what could be an open contest.
Brazil — recent matches
29 Jun 2026Japan2 — 1W
24 Jun 2026Scotland3 — 0W
20 Jun 2026Haiti3 — 0W
13 Jun 2026Morocco1 — 1D
06 Jun 2026Egypt2 — 1W
Norway — recent matches
30 Jun 2026Ivory Coast2 — 1W
26 Jun 2026France1 — 4L
23 Jun 2026Senegal3 — 2W
16 Jun 2026Iraq4 — 1W
07 Jun 2026Morocco1 — 1D
Squad Availability
✚ Injured ·■ Suspended
Brazil
✚Lucas Paquetá
✚Raphinha
Norway
No reported absences
Key Players
Brazil
Vinícius JúniorLWReal Madrid · 35+ caps · 5 G
RodrygoRWReal Madrid · 30+ caps · 7 G
MarquinhosCBPSG · 90+ caps · Captain
Bruno GuimarãesCMNewcastle · 40+ caps
EndrickSTReal Madrid · 15+ caps · 4 G
Norway
Erling HaalandSTMan City · 35+ caps · 35 G
Martin ØdegaardAMArsenal · 45+ caps · Captain
Alexander SørlothSTAtlético · 50+ caps · 14 G
Antonio NusaLWLeipzig · 15+ caps
Injuries
Brazil
NeymarReturning from long-term knee injuryDoubtful
Norway
None reported
Venue · Context
Stadium: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Capacity: 82,500
A vast open-air bowl — the tournament's final venue — with little cover; conditions are typically mild but the large pitch suits expansive play.
Brazil
1–2
Norway
