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Norway 32 Senegal
22 Jun · Mon · MetLife Stadium
Our top forecastOver 2.5 goals
✓ CORRECT

Haaland writes his name into Norway's World Cup history

Erling Haaland's two goals carried Norway to a pulsating 3-2 victory over Senegal and into the Round of 32, while elevating him to Norway's all-time leading World Cup scorer on four goals. Haaland has now scored in 12 straight competitive internationals and became the first Norwegian ever to find the net in consecutive World Cup matches — a measure of the relentless form he carries into the knockout rounds, and a milestone that places him at the very heart of his country's footballing story.

His opening goal, three minutes after half-time, was struck emphatically into the top corner from the edge of the area; his second, on the hour, was a close-range finish that briefly looked to have put the result beyond doubt. That it did not was down to a spirited Senegal side who refused to fold, and the closing stages became an examination of Norwegian nerve as much as quality.

Norway hold their nerve to end a 28-year drought

The night turned early when Julian Ryerson was forced off injured in the 13th minute. His replacement, Marcus Pedersen, made history of his own, lashing Norway ahead just before the interval — the first World Cup goal by a substitute since 2018. Haaland's double followed, but Ismaïla Sarr halved the deficit after a clever Sadio Mané flick and then completed his brace in the third minute of stoppage time to set nerves jangling around the stadium. Ståle Solbakken's men dug in, defended their box with discipline and saw it out, claiming Norway's first World Cup win since 1998 and ending a 28-year wait in the most dramatic fashion imaginable.

Qualification secured, Senegal left needing a miracle

Norway become the sixth side to reach the last 32, after Mexico, the United States, Germany, Argentina and France. Senegal, by contrast, must now beat Iraq heavily on the final day and hope results elsewhere fall their way if they are to sneak through among the best third-placed teams. Sarr at least had personal cause for pride, joining Camara and Diop — both in 2002 — as only the third Senegalese player to score a World Cup brace, his two goals a rare bright spot on a night of agonisingly fine margins.

Norway and France collide for top spot

With both teams already through, the final Group I fixture between Norway and France becomes a contest for first place and a smoother knockout path. The duel of the day pits Haaland against Kylian Mbappé, each on four tournament goals — a meeting of two of the sport's premier finishers at the peak of their powers. For the neutrals, it is the pick of the final round of group games. Our forecast of over 2.5 goals landed comfortably in a five-goal classic.

Group I standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1France3300+89
2Norway3201+16
3Senegal3102+23
4Iraq3003-110
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Norway – Senegal Prediction and Betting Tips

Norway national football team logo
Norway
W D W D L
vs
20:00
22 Jun · Mon
Senegal national football team logo
Senegal
L D L W W
Kick-off: 20:00 local (22 Jun) · 00:00 UTC Venue: MetLife Stadium Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Over: 2.5 Over 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.86odds

Norway's clinical attack and a Senegal side forced to chase the game point past 2.5 goals.

Back this tip
Win 1 62%
Norway to win
2.21 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 66%
Norway over 1.5 goals
2.10 odds
Total:Over: 1.5 82%
Over 1.5 goals
1.26 odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 64%
Senegal to score
1.35 odds
Norway and Senegal meet at MetLife Stadium in a Group I matchday-two clash with very different stakes. Norway sit top after an emphatic opening win; Senegal must respond after defeat to keep their tournament alive.

Norway flying after a four-goal opener

Norway opened with a commanding 4-1 win over Iraq, their attack sharp and their finishing clinical, and they top Group I on goal difference. Their striker firepower carries a threat few defences contain. They arrive with no major absentees reported, eager to take another step toward the knockout stage.

Senegal under pressure to respond

Senegal were beaten 3-1 by France, competitive in spells but ultimately second best, and now face a must-win game. They carry pace and quality in attack and will have to commit forward, which could leave space at the back. They arrive with no major absentees reported, knowing only a win keeps their hopes alive.

Prediction: goals at MetLife

With Norway in clinical form and Senegal forced to chase the game, the Norway versus Senegal prediction leans toward goals: the total going over 2.5 reads as the value angle. Around it, a Norway win reflects their form and quality, Norway over 1.5 fits their scoring trend, the match passing over 1.5 looks likely, and Senegal — pushing forward — are tipped to score.
Norway — recent matches
16 Jun 2026 Iraq 4 — 1 W
07 Jun 2026 Morocco 1 — 1 D
01 Jun 2026 Sweden 3 — 1 W
31 Mar 2026 Switzerland 0 — 0 D
27 Mar 2026 Netherlands 1 — 2 L
Senegal — recent matches
16 Jun 2026 France 1 — 3 L
09 Jun 2026 Saudi Arabia 0 — 0 D
31 May 2026 USA 2 — 3 L
31 Mar 2026 Gambia 3 — 1 W
28 Mar 2026 Peru 2 — 0 W

Key Players

Norway
Erling Haaland ST Man City · 35+ caps · 35 G
Martin Ødegaard AM Arsenal · 45+ caps · Captain
Alexander Sørloth ST Atlético · 50+ caps · 14 G
Antonio Nusa LW Leipzig · 15+ caps
Senegal
Sadio Mané LW Al-Nassr · 100+ caps · 40 G
Kalidou Koulibaly CB Al-Hilal · 80+ caps · Captain
Édouard Mendy GK Al-Ahli · 35+ caps
Ismaïla Sarr RW Crystal Palace · 65+ caps
Nicolas Jackson ST Bayern Munich · 20+ caps

Injuries

Norway
None reported
Senegal
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Capacity: 82,500
A vast open-air bowl — the tournament's final venue — with little cover; conditions are typically mild but the large pitch suits expansive play.
Weather: Mid-June New York area: ~24–28°C, humid.

Suspensions

Norway
None reported
Senegal
None reported

Other Group I matches

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