Turkiye edge USA 3-2 with a stoppage-time Ayhan winner
Turkiye ended their World Cup on a high, beating the USA 3-2 at the SoFi Stadium as Kaan Ayhan struck in the 98th minute to win a thrilling five-goal contest. The Americans, already confirmed as Group D winners, rotated heavily; Turkiye, already eliminated, played with freedom and ambition. Ayhan's late finish, which slipped through Matt Turner's legs, was the latest match-winner the USA have ever conceded at a World Cup — a dramatic full stop on an open, end-to-end evening.
How it unfolded: Guler's record, US fightback, late drama
Arda Guler, 21, opened the scoring to become Turkiye's youngest World Cup scorer, with a second Turkiye goal giving the eliminated side control. The USA responded through Sebastian Berhalter and Auston Trusty — a record fifth different American scorer at the tournament — to level the game and hint at a comeback. Just as a draw beckoned, Ayhan pounced deep in stoppage time to settle a chaotic, momentum-swinging contest in Turkiye's favour.
Context: US records and defensive questions
The USA's eight goals at this tournament are their most ever, beating marks set in 1930 and 2002 and underlining their attacking riches even in a changed side. Christian Pulisic returned from the bench as he eases back from a calf issue, encouraging ahead of the knockouts. Yet the defence struggled badly: Turner had a night to forget, rated as low as 3 out of 10, as the reshuffled backline was repeatedly exposed by Turkiye's adventurous play.
The table: USA top regardless, Turkiye go out
The defeat changed nothing at the top — the USA had already won Group D and finished first on six points (GD plus four). Australia took second, Paraguay third, and Turkiye exit bottom on three points despite their parting win. The USA face Bosnia & Herzegovina next in the Round of 32, with the return of Pulisic a timely boost but the defensive lapses at SoFi a clear area for the coaching staff to address. For Turkiye, a first win of the tournament offers something to build on for the future, even as their campaign ends. Our forecast of Under 2.5 goals missed badly in a five-goal classic, undone by an open, end-to-end contest that neither qualification-settled side felt any obligation to control.
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World
Türkiye – USA Prediction and Betting Tips
Türkiye
LLWW
vs
19:00
25 Jun · Thu
USA
WWLWL
Kick-off: 19:00 local (25 Jun) · 02:00 UTCVenue: SoFi StadiumReferee: M. Ghorbal
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5Under 2.5 goals60% confidence
2.12odds
A rotated USA with nothing to chase against an eliminated, goalless Türkiye points to a low-key, low-scoring finale.
Back this tip
X266%
USA or draw
1.32 odds
Total Team 1 Under: 1.566%
Türkiye under 1.5 goals
1.42 odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.568%
USA to score
1.17 odds
Total:Under: 2.058%
Under 2.0 goals
3.18 odds
Türkiye host an already-qualified USA at SoFi Stadium in a Group D finale with little riding on the result.
USA already through as winners
USA have won Group D with six points, sealing qualification with a match to spare after wins over Paraguay (4-1) and Australia (2-0). With top spot secured, they may rest key players ahead of the knockouts; even a rotated co-host side carries quality. They arrive with no major absentees reported.
Türkiye eliminated and pointless
Türkiye exit without a point, beaten 2-0 by Australia and 1-0 by Paraguay — failing to score and, against Paraguay, seeing the tournament's first red card under FIFA's new mouth-covering rule. They play only for pride before a neutral Los Angeles crowd.
Our forecast: a low-key, low-scoring finale
With USA likely to rotate and Türkiye toothless and out, our forecast leans low: under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle. Around it, USA to avoid defeat reflects their quality, Türkiye are tipped to stay under 1.5, and even a rotated USA are backed to score.
Türkiye — recent matches
20 Jun 2026Paraguay0 — 1L
14 Jun 2026Australia0 — 2L
06 Jun 2026Venezuela2 — 1W
01 Jun 2026FYR Macedonia4 — 0W
Limited recent international matches
USA — recent matches
19 Jun 2026Australia2 — 0W
13 Jun 2026Paraguay4 — 1W
06 Jun 2026Germany1 — 2L
31 May 2026Senegal3 — 2W
31 Mar 2026Portugal0 — 2L
07.06.2025USAvsTürkiye1 — 2
Key Players
Türkiye
Hakan ÇalhanoğluCMInter · 90+ caps · 22 G · Captain
Arda GülerAMReal Madrid · 20+ caps
Kerem AktürkoğluLWBenfica · 30+ caps
Merih DemiralCBAl-Ahli · 50+ caps
USA
Christian PulisicAMAC Milan · 75+ caps · 31 G · Captain
Weston McKennieCMJuventus · 55+ caps
Tyler AdamsCDMBournemouth · 40+ caps
Folarin BalogunSTMonaco · 15+ caps
Injuries
Türkiye
None reported
USA
None reported
Venue · Context
Stadium: SoFi Stadium
Capacity: 70,000
SoFi's fixed translucent canopy shades the pitch and tempers Los Angeles heat, giving neutral, controlled conditions that favour technical, possession football.
Weather: Mid-June LA: mild, ~22–26°C, dry under the canopy.