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USA 20 Bosnia & Herzegovina
01 Jul · Wed · Levi's Stadium
Our top forecastUSA or draw
✓ CORRECT

Ten-man USA overcome Bosnia to reach the last 16

The United States beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 at Levi's Stadium to reach the Round of 16, holding on for more than half an hour with ten men. Folarin Balogun's strike and a late Malik Tillman free-kick did the damage, but the tale was one of resilience after Balogun's red card. Mauricio Pochettino's side recorded the USA's first World Cup knockout win since 2002.

How it unfolded: Balogun's goal and dismissal, Tillman seals it

After an early offside call, Balogun opened the scoring on 45 minutes, slotting through Vasilj's legs for his third goal of the finals. On 64 minutes he was sent off after a VAR review for a stamp on Nikola Muharemovic — the first player to score and be dismissed in the same World Cup match since Zidane in 2006. Reduced to ten, USA dug in and Tillman sealed it late with a fine free-kick.

Context: resilience and a costly card

The USA defended heroically to protect a first knockout win in 24 years, vindicating Pochettino's call to dig deep. Balogun's red card, however, rules him out of the Round of 16. Bosnia, featuring USA-born Esmir Bajraktarevic, exit after a spirited campaign.

The next step: USA meet Belgium

USA advance to face Belgium on July 6 in Seattle, chasing a first World Cup quarter-final since 2002 — albeit without their suspended striker. Our forecast of USA to avoid defeat landed as the co-hosts won 2-0 despite the numerical disadvantage.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

USA – Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction and Betting Tips

USA national football team logo
USA
L W W L W
vs
17:00
01 Jul · Wed
Bosnia & Herzegovina national football team logo
Bosnia & Herzegovina
W L D D D
Kick-off: 17:00 local (1 Jul) · 00:00 UTC Venue: Levi's Stadium Referee: R. Claus
Top forecast + 3 supporting tips
4 picks
Top Pick
1X USA or draw 70% confidence
1.15odds

The co-hosts hold the edge in quality and home advantage, needing only to avoid a 90-minute defeat to reach extra time as favourites; Bosnia's resilience could force a draw, but a regulation win for Barbarez's side is the least likely result.

Back this tip
Total:Under: 2.5 60%
Under 2.5 goals
2.09 odds
Win 1 55%
USA to win
1.38 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 64%
Bosnia under 1.5 goals
1.15 odds
This Round of 32 tie brings together the Group D winners and a Group B best-third side with contrasting routes to the last 32. The United States, the tournament's most prolific attack, advanced as co-hosts riding genuine momentum, while Bosnia & Herzegovina reached the knockout stage for the first time on the strength of a disciplined, defence-first campaign. Expect a clash of styles: Mauricio Pochettino's front-foot United States will look to break a stubborn block, whereas Sergej Barbarez's Bosnia will sit deep and strike on the counter. With a Round of 16 place on the line and a draw sending the tie to extra time, caution is likely to shape the contest. Our forecast favours the United States to avoid defeat, with goals at a premium against an organised Bosnia.
USA — recent matches
26 Jun 2026 Türkiye 2 — 3 L
19 Jun 2026 Australia 2 — 0 W
13 Jun 2026 Paraguay 4 — 1 W
06 Jun 2026 Germany 1 — 2 L
31 May 2026 Senegal 3 — 2 W
Bosnia & Herzegovina — recent matches
24 Jun 2026 Qatar 3 — 1 W
18 Jun 2026 Switzerland 1 — 4 L
12 Jun 2026 Canada 1 — 1 D
06 Jun 2026 Panama 1 — 1 D
29 May 2026 FYR Macedonia 0 — 0 D
19.12.2021 USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 — 0
29.01.2018 USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina 0 — 0

Squad Availability

Injured · Suspended

USA

C. Roldan

Bosnia & Herzegovina

No reported absences

Key Players

USA
Christian Pulisic AM AC Milan · 75+ caps · 31 G · Captain
Weston McKennie CM Juventus · 55+ caps
Tyler Adams CDM Bournemouth · 40+ caps
Folarin Balogun ST Monaco · 15+ caps
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Edin Džeko ST Fenerbahçe · 130+ caps · 65 G · Captain
Miralem Pjanić CM CSKA Moscow · 110+ caps
Sead Kolašinac LB Atalanta · 60+ caps
Ermedin Demirović ST Stuttgart · 25+ caps

Injuries

USA
None reported
Bosnia & Herzegovina
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Levi's Stadium
Capacity: 68,500
Levi's is notorious for sun exposure — afternoon kick-offs bake the pitch and sap legs, so timing and rotation matter.
Weather: Mid-June Bay Area: warm and sunny, ~26–30°C in daytime.

Suspensions

USA
None reported
Bosnia & Herzegovina
None reported

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