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Sweden – Tunisia Prediction and Betting Tips

Sweden

D L

20:00

14 Jun · Sun

Tunisia

L L D W

Kick-off: 20:00 local (14 Jun) · 02:00 UTC Venue: Estadio BBVA Referee: TBA

Top forecast + 4 supporting tips

5 picks

Top Pick

Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 Tunisia under 1.5 goals 60% confidence

2.40odds

Tunisia scored around 0.6 goals per game across their last five, a blunt attack against a Sweden side that still carries attacking quality.

Back this tip

1X 60%

Sweden or draw

3.59 odds

Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 72%

Sweden over 0.5 goals

1.39 odds

Total:Under: 3.0 66%

Under 3.0 goals

1.80 odds

Total:Over: 1.5 60%

Over 1.5 goals

3.63 odds

Sweden meet Tunisia in a group-stage opener that contrasts Scandinavian firepower with North African defensive discipline. Sweden carry a star-studded attack, while Tunisia rely on organisation and resilience under a new coach. With qualification finely poised from the off, both will balance ambition against the risk of an early slip.

Sweden carrying firepower but defensively fragile

Sweden arrive with goals but questions at the back: a 1-3 loss to Norway, a 3-2 win over Poland and a 3-1 victory against Ukraine in their playoff run among recent matches, averaging roughly 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. The attack is loaded, with Arsenal's Viktor Gyokeres — who sealed qualification against Poland — and Liverpool's Alexander Isak both in the squad, though Isak carries a fitness doubt after an interrupted season. Dejan Kulusevski is the notable absentee through injury. Victor Lindelof anchors a defence that has looked vulnerable.

Tunisia organised and low-scoring

Tunisia come in resolute but blunt: a 0-1 loss to Austria, a 0-0 draw with Canada, a 1-0 win over Haiti and tight AFCON draws among their recent games, averaging around 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. New coach Sabri Lamouchi has named a much-changed squad built on structure. Captain Ellyes Skhiri anchors the midfield, with Hannibal Mejbri and Elias Achouri providing the limited creative spark for a side that defends in numbers.

Prediction: Tunisia's blunt attack is the key

The sides have met just once at senior level, a goalless friendly in 2003. The Sweden versus Tunisia prediction leans on Tunisia's lack of goals against a Swedish side that, for all its defensive flaws, carries real attacking threat, so Tunisia staying under 1.5 goals offers value. Around it, a Sweden-or-draw double chance fits home advantage and their firepower, Sweden look likely to register over 0.5, the total staying under 3.0 reflects Tunisia's caution, and the game still passing over 1.5 suits Sweden's scoring.