Full-time

Sweden 5–1

Tunisia

14 Jun · Sun · Estadio BBVA

Our top forecastTunisia under 1.5 goals

✓ CORRECT

Match summary

Sweden swept Tunisia aside 5-1 in their Group F opener at Estadio BBVA. Yasin Ayari struck after just 7 minutes and Alexander Isak doubled the lead on the half-hour, before Viktor Gyökeres (59'), Mattias Svanberg (84') and a second Ayari goal deep in stoppage time (90+6') completed the rout; Omar Rekik headed in a Tunisia consolation just before the break (43'). The emphatic win puts Sweden top of Group F on +4 goal difference. Our top forecast — Tunisia under 1.5 goals — landed, with the outclassed visitors managing only one in reply.

What we predicted before the match

🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Sweden – Tunisia Prediction and Betting Tips

Sweden

D L

20:00

14 Jun · Sun

Tunisia

L L D W

Kick-off: 20:00 local (14 Jun) · 02:00 UTC Venue: Estadio BBVA Referee: TBA

Top forecast + 4 supporting tips

5 picks

Top Pick

Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 Tunisia under 1.5 goals 60% confidence

1.25odds

Tunisia scored around 0.6 goals per game across their last five, a blunt attack against a Sweden side that still carries attacking quality.

Back this tip

1X 60%

Sweden or draw

1.26 odds

Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 72%

Sweden over 0.5 goals

1.22 odds

Total:Under: 3.0 66%

Under 3.0 goals

1.49 odds

Total:Over: 1.5 60%

Over 1.5 goals

1.34 odds

Sweden meet Tunisia in a group-stage opener that contrasts Scandinavian firepower with North African defensive discipline. Sweden carry a star-studded attack, while Tunisia rely on organisation and resilience under a new coach. With qualification finely poised from the off, both will balance ambition against the risk of an early slip.

Sweden carrying firepower but defensively fragile

Sweden arrive with goals but questions at the back: a 1-3 loss to Norway, a 3-2 win over Poland and a 3-1 victory against Ukraine in their playoff run among recent matches, averaging roughly 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. The attack is loaded, with Arsenal's Viktor Gyokeres — who sealed qualification against Poland — and Liverpool's Alexander Isak both in the squad, though Isak carries a fitness doubt after an interrupted season. Dejan Kulusevski is the notable absentee through injury. Victor Lindelof anchors a defence that has looked vulnerable.

Tunisia organised and low-scoring

Tunisia come in resolute but blunt: a 0-1 loss to Austria, a 0-0 draw with Canada, a 1-0 win over Haiti and tight AFCON draws among their recent games, averaging around 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. New coach Sabri Lamouchi has named a much-changed squad built on structure. Captain Ellyes Skhiri anchors the midfield, with Hannibal Mejbri and Elias Achouri providing the limited creative spark for a side that defends in numbers.

Prediction: Tunisia's blunt attack is the key

The sides have met just once at senior level, a goalless friendly in 2003. The Sweden versus Tunisia prediction leans on Tunisia's lack of goals against a Swedish side that, for all its defensive flaws, carries real attacking threat, so Tunisia staying under 1.5 goals offers value. Around it, a Sweden-or-draw double chance fits home advantage and their firepower, Sweden look likely to register over 0.5, the total staying under 3.0 reflects Tunisia's caution, and the game still passing over 1.5 suits Sweden's scoring.

Sweden — recent matches

04 Jun 2026 Greece 2 — 2 D

01 Jun 2026 Norway 1 — 3 L

Limited recent international matches

Tunisia — recent matches

06 Jun 2026 Belgium 0 — 5 L

01 Jun 2026 Austria 0 — 1 L

31 Mar 2026 Canada 0 — 0 D

29 Mar 2026 Haiti 1 — 0 W

Limited recent international matches

12.02.2003 Sweden vs Tunisia 0 – 0

Only one senior meeting on record (2003 friendly).

Key Players

Sweden

Alexander Isak ST Liverpool · 40+ caps · 16 G

Dejan Kulusevski RW Tottenham · 35+ caps · 7 G

Victor Lindelöf CB Aston Villa · 70+ caps · Captain

Anthony Elanga LW Newcastle · 20+ caps

Tunisia

Hannibal Mejbri AM Burnley · 25+ caps

Aïssa Laïdouni CM Union Berlin · Captain

Wahbi Khazri AM Montpellier · 80+ caps

Issam Jebali ST Odense BK

Injuries

Sweden

None reported

Tunisia

None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Estadio BBVA

Capacity: 53,500

Altitude: 540m above sea level

Monterrey is among the hottest host cities — daytime kick-offs can exceed 30°C, putting a premium on hydration and squad depth.

Weather: Mid-June: hot and dry, frequently 32°C+ in daytime.

Suspensions

Sweden

None reported

Tunisia

None reported

Other Group F matches

MD1

Netherlands2–2JapanMISSED

MD2

Netherlands5–1SwedenLANDED Tunisia0–4JapanLANDED

MD3

Japan1–1SwedenMISSED Tunisia1–3NetherlandsLANDED

MD32

Brazil2–1JapanLANDED Netherlands2–2MoroccoLANDED France3–0SwedenLANDED

Team’s other matches

Sweden

Netherlands5–1SwedenLANDED Japan1–1SwedenMISSED

Tunisia

Tunisia0–4JapanLANDED Tunisia1–3NetherlandsLANDED

Latest AI Predictions

Switzerland0–0ColombiaLANDED Argentina3–2EgyptLANDED USA1–4BelgiumLANDED Portugal0–1SpainLANDED Mexico2–3EnglandLANDED

Match summary

Sweden – Tunisia Prediction and Betting Tips

Sweden carrying firepower but defensively fragile

Tunisia organised and low-scoring

Prediction: Tunisia's blunt attack is the key

Recent Form

H2H

Key Players

Injuries

Venue · Context

Suspensions

Other Group F matches

Team’s other matches

Latest AI Predictions

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