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🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Panama – Croatia Prediction and Betting Tips

Panama national football team logo
Panama
L D W L W
vs
19:00
23 Jun · Tue
Croatia national football team logo
Croatia
L W L L W
Kick-off: 19:00 local (23 Jun) · 23:00 UTC Venue: BMO Field Referee: TBA
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.95odds

A tense must-win between two low-scoring sides, with Panama yet to find the net, points to a contained game under 2.5.

Back this tip
X2 62%
Croatia or draw
2.63 odds
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 66%
Panama under 1.5 goals
1.17 odds
Total:Over: 1.5 58%
Over 1.5 goals
1.28 odds
Handicap 2 : 1 64%
Croatia +1
1.09 odds
Panama and Croatia meet at BMO Field in Toronto in a Group L must-win, both sides pointless after matchday one and the loser facing all-but-certain elimination.

Croatia under pressure

Croatia slipped to a 4-2 defeat against England but still found the net twice, evidence of the quality that remains in an experienced side. On zero points their margin for error is gone, and they know another loss ends their tournament. Expect a more cautious, controlled approach as they look to protect their last realistic lifeline rather than chase the game.

Panama searching for a spark

Panama went down 1-0 to Ghana to a stoppage-time goal and are yet to score at the finals. Tidy without being threatening, they now face a step up in class against opponents who cannot afford to lose either. To survive they must find an edge that was missing first time out, against a defence that will guard its lead carefully.

Our forecast: caution dominates

Two desperate sides in a knockout-in-all-but-name tend to tighten up, and with Panama struggling to score our forecast leans to a low-scoring game: under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle. Around it, the double chance favours Croatia, Panama are tipped to stay under 1.5, the total over 1.5 covers a single breakthrough, and a one-goal handicap reflects Croatia's edge.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
PanamaDrawCroatia
Panama
Home win
15%
Draw
No bet
24%
Croatia
Away win
61%
Panama — recent matches
17 Jun 2026 Ghana 0 — 1 L
06 Jun 2026 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 — 1 D
04 Jun 2026 Dominican Republic 4 — 2 W
31 May 2026 Brazil 2 — 6 L
31 Mar 2026 South Africa 2 — 1 W
Croatia — recent matches
17 Jun 2026 England 2 — 4 L
07 Jun 2026 Slovenia 2 — 1 W
02 Jun 2026 Belgium 0 — 2 L
01 Apr 2026 Brazil 1 — 3 L
26 Mar 2026 Colombia 2 — 1 W

Key Players

Panama
Aníbal Godoy CDM San Jose Earthquakes · 100+ caps · Captain
José Fajardo ST CD Plaza Amador · 40+ caps
Adalberto Carrasquilla CM Pumas · 50+ caps
Ismael Díaz ST León · 25+ caps
Croatia
Luka Modrić CM AC Milan · 185+ caps · 27 G · Captain
Mateo Kovačić CM Man City · 100+ caps
Joško Gvardiol CB Man City · 35+ caps
Andrej Kramarić ST Hoffenheim · 100+ caps · 30 G

Injuries

Panama
None reported
Croatia
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: BMO Field
Capacity: 45,000
Toronto's BMO Field, expanded for the tournament, is an open-air ground with mild early-summer conditions that suit a high tempo.
Weather: Mid-June Toronto: mild, ~20–25°C.

Suspensions

Panama
None reported
Croatia
None reported

Expected Lineups

Pending
⏳

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Group Standings

# Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 England 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Ghana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Panama ★ 1 0 0 1 -1 0
4 Croatia ★ 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Odds

Panama vs Croatia
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 7.15 4.15 1.61 Bet now
William Hill 6.50 3.80 1.53 Bet now
Bet365 6.50 4.10 1.50 Bet now
Marathonbet 7.10 4.05 1.53 Bet now
Unibet 7.00 4.00 1.52 Bet now
Betfair 6.50 4.00 1.53 Bet now
BetVictor 6.50 4.10 1.50 Bet now
Pinnacle 6.65 4.05 1.56 Bet now
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