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Croatia 21 Ghana
27 Jun · Sat · Lincoln Financial Field
Our top forecastUnder 2.5 goals
✗ INCORRECT

Croatia see off Ghana to reach the last 32

Croatia claimed second in Group L with a 2-1 win over Ghana at Lincoln Financial Field, a late Nikola Vlasic header settling a tight contest. Luka Sucic had opened the scoring, and the 2018 finalists showed their experience to edge a determined Ghana and book a Round of 32 meeting with Portugal. Ghana, despite the loss, advanced as one of the best third-placed teams.

How it unfolded: Sucic, a Ghana reply, then Vlasic

Sucic put Croatia ahead on 31 minutes, but Ghana levelled on 73 through Luckassen, the goal surviving a VAR review for a marginal Partey offside judged not to interfere. Vlasic settled it on 83 minutes with a header, and Croatia held firm late as Ghana chased a second equaliser that never came.

Context: experience carries the golden generation on

Croatia's composure and midfield craft told once more, with Sucic's opener and Vlasic's decisive header reflecting a blend of youth and experience that has long served them well. Reaching the knockouts keeps alive the hopes of a side chasing another deep run, and a tie with Portugal promises a tactical, finely-balanced encounter between two nations who know exactly what knockout football demands. Ghana can be proud of a competitive campaign and a best-third finish that keeps them alive, even if the marginal VAR call on their equaliser will be discussed long after.

The table: Croatia second, Portugal await

Croatia finished second in Group L on six points behind England, setting up a Round of 32 tie with Portugal; Ghana took third (best-third, to face Colombia) and Panama exit at the bottom. Our forecast of under 2.5 goals missed narrowly in a three-goal contest, as a late winner tipped the game just past the line.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Croatia – Ghana Prediction and Betting Tips

Croatia national football team logo
Croatia
W L W L L
vs
17:00
27 Jun · Sat
Ghana national football team logo
Ghana
D W D L L
Kick-off: 17:00 local (27 Jun) · 21:00 UTC Venue: Lincoln Financial Field Referee: D. Fischer
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.62odds

A draw suits a defensive Ghana and Croatia cannot afford to be open at the back, pointing to a tense, low-scoring decider.

Back this tip
Win 1 56%
Croatia to win
1.87 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 66%
Ghana under 1.5 goals
1.19 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 66%
Croatia to score
1.22 odds
Total:Under: 2.0 58%
Under 2.0 goals
2.17 odds
Croatia and Ghana meet at Lincoln Financial Field in a Group L finale with very different equations, and with both group fixtures kicking off at the same time.

Croatia must win

Croatia kept their World Cup alive with a hard-fought 1-0 win over Panama, recovering from an opening 0-2 defeat to England, and now sit third on three points. The maths is simple: only a victory will carry Zlatko Dalić's side into the Round of 32, and even then they will need to watch events in the group's other game. Roared on in Philadelphia and carrying the greater creativity and tournament know-how, they will press for the goals they need — but must guard against the counter as they commit men forward in search of a winner.

Ghana's defensive platform

Ghana have been one of the surprises of the group, sitting on four points after beating Panama and holding England to a goalless draw with a disciplined, well-drilled display under Carlos Queiroz. A draw would be enough to send them through, which means they may be content to defend deep, frustrate Croatia and threaten on the break. Their resilience and organisation make them awkward, stubborn opponents on the night, and a single counter-attacking moment could settle everything in their favour.

Our forecast: a tense, low-scoring decider

With Ghana able to play for a point and Croatia wary of overextending, our forecast leans low: under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle in a cagey, knockout-style contest. Around it, a Croatia win reflects their urgency and home advantage, Ghana are tipped to stay under 1.5, and Croatia are backed to score.
Croatia — recent matches
23 Jun 2026 Panama 1 — 0 W
17 Jun 2026 England 2 — 4 L
07 Jun 2026 Slovenia 2 — 1 W
02 Jun 2026 Belgium 0 — 2 L
01 Apr 2026 Brazil 1 — 3 L
Ghana — recent matches
23 Jun 2026 England 0 — 0 D
17 Jun 2026 Panama 1 — 0 W
02 Jun 2026 Wales 1 — 1 D
23 May 2026 Mexico 0 — 2 L
30 Mar 2026 Germany 1 — 2 L

Key Players

Croatia
Luka Modrić CM AC Milan · 185+ caps · 27 G · Captain
Mateo Kovačić CM Man City · 100+ caps
Joško Gvardiol CB Man City · 35+ caps
Andrej Kramarić ST Hoffenheim · 100+ caps · 30 G
Ghana
André Ayew AM Le Havre · 120+ caps · 24 G · Captain
Mohammed Kudus AM Tottenham · 35+ caps
Iñaki Williams ST Athletic Bilbao · 15+ caps
Thomas Partey CDM Villarreal · 50+ caps

Injuries

Croatia
None reported
Ghana
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Lincoln Financial Field
Capacity: 69,000
Open-air Philadelphia venue; mid-June brings warm, humid air that can slow the tempo in later stages.
Weather: Mid-June: warm, humid, ~27–31°C.

Suspensions

Croatia
None reported
Ghana
None reported

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