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Croatia – Ghana Prediction and Betting Tips

Croatia national football team logo
Croatia
W L W L L
vs
17:00
27 Jun · Sat
Ghana national football team logo
Ghana
D W D L L
Kick-off: 17:00 local (27 Jun) · 21:00 UTC Venue: Lincoln Financial Field Referee: D. Fischer
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.68odds

A draw suits a defensive Ghana and Croatia cannot afford to be open at the back, pointing to a tense, low-scoring decider.

Back this tip
Win 1 56%
Croatia to win
1.78 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 66%
Ghana under 1.5 goals
1.18 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 66%
Croatia to score
1.20 odds
Total:Under: 2.0 58%
Under 2.0 goals
2.29 odds
Croatia and Ghana meet at Lincoln Financial Field in a Group L finale with very different equations, and with both group fixtures kicking off at the same time.

Croatia must win

Croatia kept their World Cup alive with a hard-fought 1-0 win over Panama, recovering from an opening 0-2 defeat to England, and now sit third on three points. The maths is simple: only a victory will carry Zlatko Dalić's side into the Round of 32, and even then they will need to watch events in the group's other game. Roared on in Philadelphia and carrying the greater creativity and tournament know-how, they will press for the goals they need — but must guard against the counter as they commit men forward in search of a winner.

Ghana's defensive platform

Ghana have been one of the surprises of the group, sitting on four points after beating Panama and holding England to a goalless draw with a disciplined, well-drilled display under Carlos Queiroz. A draw would be enough to send them through, which means they may be content to defend deep, frustrate Croatia and threaten on the break. Their resilience and organisation make them awkward, stubborn opponents on the night, and a single counter-attacking moment could settle everything in their favour.

Our forecast: a tense, low-scoring decider

With Ghana able to play for a point and Croatia wary of overextending, our forecast leans low: under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle in a cagey, knockout-style contest. Around it, a Croatia win reflects their urgency and home advantage, Ghana are tipped to stay under 1.5, and Croatia are backed to score.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
CroatiaDrawGhana
Croatia
Home win
53%
Draw
No bet
28%
Ghana
Away win
19%
Croatia — recent matches
23 Jun 2026 Panama 1 — 0 W
17 Jun 2026 England 2 — 4 L
07 Jun 2026 Slovenia 2 — 1 W
02 Jun 2026 Belgium 0 — 2 L
01 Apr 2026 Brazil 1 — 3 L
Ghana — recent matches
23 Jun 2026 England 0 — 0 D
17 Jun 2026 Panama 1 — 0 W
02 Jun 2026 Wales 1 — 1 D
23 May 2026 Mexico 0 — 2 L
30 Mar 2026 Germany 1 — 2 L

Key Players

Croatia
Luka Modrić CM AC Milan · 185+ caps · 27 G · Captain
Mateo Kovačić CM Man City · 100+ caps
Joško Gvardiol CB Man City · 35+ caps
Andrej Kramarić ST Hoffenheim · 100+ caps · 30 G
Ghana
André Ayew AM Le Havre · 120+ caps · 24 G · Captain
Mohammed Kudus AM Tottenham · 35+ caps
Iñaki Williams ST Athletic Bilbao · 15+ caps
Thomas Partey CDM Villarreal · 50+ caps

Injuries

Croatia
None reported
Ghana
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Lincoln Financial Field
Capacity: 69,000
Open-air Philadelphia venue; mid-June brings warm, humid air that can slow the tempo in later stages.
Weather: Mid-June: warm, humid, ~27–31°C.

Suspensions

Croatia
None reported
Ghana
None reported

Expected Lineups

Pending
⏳

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Group Standings

# Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 England 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Ghana ★ 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Croatia ★ 2 1 0 1 -1 3
4 Panama 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Odds

Croatia vs Ghana
40 winning forecasts · 67% accuracy
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up AI’s choice Best odds 1.86 3.37 5.99 Bet now
William Hill 1.75 3.30 4.80 Bet now
Bet365 1.75 3.30 5.50 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.78 3.32 5.60 Bet now
Unibet 1.81 3.10 5.75 Bet now
Betfair 1.75 3.30 5.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.73 3.30 5.50 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.76 3.26 5.94 Bet now

Other Group L matches

MD1
England4–2CroatiaMISSEDGhana1–0PanamaMISSED
MD2
England0–0GhanaMISSEDPanama0–1CroatiaLANDED
MD3
PanamavEnglandJun 27 · 21:00 UTC

Team’s other matches

Croatia
England4–2CroatiaMISSEDPanama0–1CroatiaLANDED
Ghana
Ghana1–0PanamaMISSEDEngland0–0GhanaMISSED

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