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England 42 Croatia
17 Jun · Wed · AT&T Stadium
Our top forecastCroatia under 1.5 goals
✗ INCORRECT

Match summary

England defeated Croatia 4-2 at Dallas Stadium in a chaotic Group L opener marking Thomas Tuchel's debut as England head coach. Harry Kane opened the scoring from a penalty in the 12th minute (retake after Croatia goalkeeper encroachment) and added a second from a corner in the 42nd minute. Croatia twice levelled — Martin Baturina (36') with a fine strike and Petar Musa (45+5') with a well-worked move — to send the game to half-time at 2-2. Jude Bellingham restored England's lead two minutes after the break (47'), and Marcus Rashford sealed it with a fine finish (85'). Kane equalled Gary Lineker's England record of 10 World Cup goals. A perfect call: all four of our AI models landed — Claude (England or draw), ChatGPT (over 2.5 goals), Gemini (England over 1.5) and DeepSeek (Croatia to score) were all correct in a six-goal contest. The fifth perfect prediction of the tournament.

Group L standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1England2110+24
2Ghana2110+14
3Croatia2101-13
4Panama2002-20
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

England – Croatia Prediction and Betting Tips

England national football team logo
England
W W L D
vs
15:00
17 Jun · Wed
Croatia national football team logo
Croatia
W L L W
Kick-off: 15:00 local (17 Jun) · 20:00 UTC Venue: AT&T Stadium Referee: Clément Turpin (France)
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 Croatia under 1.5 goals 60% confidence
1.20odds

England's defensive solidity and clean-sheet habit point to a quiet game for an inconsistent Croatia attack.

Back this tip
1X 66%
England or draw
2.30 odds
Total:Under: 3.0 64%
Under 3.0 goals
1.38 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 78%
England to score
1.48 odds
Total:Under: 2.5 56%
Under 2.5 goals
1.73 odds
England and Croatia renew a rivalry rich in recent history, from the 2018 World Cup semi-final to their Euro 2020 group meeting. This time they collide in a Group L opener, with England among the favourites as Euro 2024 finalists and Croatia, World Cup bronze medallists in 2022, seeking one more deep run.

England solid and well-drilled

England arrive with one of the meanest defensive records in the field and a deep, balanced squad. They are well organised and difficult to break down, and carry enough attacking quality to hurt opponents on the front foot. They are missing a full-back through injury but otherwise arrive in good health, strong favourites to start with a positive result.

Croatia experienced but leaking goals

Croatia still possess a midfield capable of controlling phases of any match, but their recent results have shown defensive vulnerability and attacking inconsistency. Their experience keeps them dangerous, yet the back line has looked exposed against quality opposition. They carry a minor defensive doubt but no major absentees reported.

Prediction: England's defence should frustrate Croatia

England lead the head-to-head and form points the same way. The England versus Croatia prediction centres on England's clean-sheet habit against a leaking Croatia, so Croatia staying under 1.5 goals carries value rather than simply backing the favourites. Around it, an England-or-draw double chance fits their solidity, the total staying under 3.0 suits a cautious opener, England are backed to score, and the game staying under 2.5 reflects England's control.
England — recent matches
10 Jun 2026 Costa Rica 3 — 0 W
06 Jun 2026 New Zealand 1 — 0 W
31 Mar 2026 Japan 0 — 1 L
27 Mar 2026 Uruguay 1 — 1 D
Limited recent international matches
Croatia — recent matches
07 Jun 2026 Slovenia 2 — 1 W
02 Jun 2026 Belgium 0 — 2 L
01 Apr 2026 Brazil 1 — 3 L
26 Mar 2026 Colombia 2 — 1 W
Limited recent international matches
13.06.2021 England vs Croatia 1 — 0
18.11.2018 England vs Croatia 2 — 1
12.10.2018 Croatia vs England 0 — 0
11.07.2018 Croatia vs England 2 — 1

Key Players

England
Harry Kane ST Bayern · 100+ caps · 70+ G · Captain
Jude Bellingham AM Real Madrid · 40+ caps · 7 G
Bukayo Saka RW Arsenal · 45+ caps · 13 G
Phil Foden AM Man City · 40+ caps · 5 G
Declan Rice CDM Arsenal · 65+ caps
Croatia
Luka Modrić CM AC Milan · 185+ caps · 27 G · Captain
Mateo Kovačić CM Man City · 100+ caps
Joško Gvardiol CB Man City · 35+ caps
Andrej Kramarić ST Hoffenheim · 100+ caps · 30 G

Injuries

England
None reported
Croatia
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: AT&T Stadium
Capacity: 80,000
AT&T Stadium's retractable roof is expected to stay shut against the Texas summer, air-conditioning the arena and removing heat as a variable.
Weather: Roof likely closed; climate-controlled (outside ~34°C).

Suspensions

England
None reported
Croatia
None reported

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