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Portugal 21 Croatia
02 Jul · Thu · BMO Field
Our top forecastPortugal or draw
✓ CORRECT

Ronaldo ends knockout wait as Ramos sinks Croatia late

Portugal came from behind to beat Croatia 2-1 at BMO Field, Goncalo Ramos heading a stoppage-time winner after Cristiano Ronaldo ended a two-decade wait for a World Cup knockout goal. At 41, Ronaldo became the oldest player to score in a World Cup knockout tie, converting a penalty on 68 minutes before Ramos won it in added time. For Croatia and 40-year-old Luka Modric in his last World Cup, it was heartbreak.

How it unfolded: Perisic, Ronaldo, Ramos

Ivan Perisic put Croatia ahead on 53 minutes. After a VAR-checked foul on Veiga, Ronaldo levelled from the spot on 68 — his 11th World Cup goal and first in a knockout after eight goalless knockout games. Substituted on 81, he watched Ramos head home a Leao cross at 90+4. A late Croatia equaliser was disallowed for a marginal offside amid chaotic scenes, and Portugal held on.

Context: history and farewell

Ronaldo's knockout duck was finally broken at 41, moving him level with Klinsmann and Kocsis. But Ramos, his replacement, was the hero. Croatia's era ends — 2018 finalists, third in 2022 — and Modric bids an emotional World Cup farewell.

The next step: an Iberian derby

Portugal advance to face Spain on July 6 at AT&T Stadium in Dallas — the tie of the round. Our forecast of Portugal to avoid defeat landed as they won 2-1 at the death.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Portugal – Croatia Prediction and Betting Tips

Portugal national football team logo
Portugal
D W D W W
vs
19:00
02 Jul · Thu
Croatia national football team logo
Croatia
W W L W L
Kick-off: 19:00 local (2 Jul) · 23:00 UTC Venue: BMO Field Referee: E. Eskas
Top forecast + 3 supporting tips
4 picks
Top Pick
1X Portugal or draw 60% confidence
1.22odds

Portugal edge the market with their attacking depth and need only avoid a 90-minute defeat to reach extra time; Croatia's experience keeps it close, so the double chance is the measured play.

Back this tip
Total:Under: 2.5 56%
Under 2.5 goals
1.98 odds
Win 1 45%
Portugal to win
1.75 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 58%
Croatia under 1.5 goals
1.29 odds
This heavyweight Round of 32 tie at BMO Field brings together two nations rich in pedigree. Portugal, Group K runners-up, arrive amid questions over Cristiano Ronaldo's workload after he played every group-stage minute — the familiar 'Ronaldo problem' resurfacing. Croatia, beaten finalists in 2018, reached the knockouts under the experienced Zlatko Dalic. Expect a tactical, finely-balanced affair: Roberto Martinez's Portugal against Croatia's midfield control. With a Round of 16 place on the line and a draw sending the tie to extra time, Portugal are slight favourites. Our forecast narrowly favours Portugal to avoid defeat in a tight, low-scoring tie.
Portugal — recent matches
27 Jun 2026 Colombia 0 — 0 D
23 Jun 2026 Uzbekistan 5 — 0 W
17 Jun 2026 Congo DR 1 — 1 D
10 Jun 2026 Nigeria 2 — 1 W
06 Jun 2026 Chile 2 — 1 W
Croatia — recent matches
27 Jun 2026 Ghana 2 — 1 W
23 Jun 2026 Panama 1 — 0 W
17 Jun 2026 England 2 — 4 L
07 Jun 2026 Slovenia 2 — 1 W
02 Jun 2026 Belgium 0 — 2 L
18.11.2024 Croatia vs Portugal 1 — 1
05.09.2024 Portugal vs Croatia 2 — 1
08.06.2024 Portugal vs Croatia 1 — 2
17.11.2020 Croatia vs Portugal 2 — 3
05.09.2020 Portugal vs Croatia 4 — 1

Key Players

Portugal
Cristiano Ronaldo ST Al-Nassr · 215+ caps · 135 G · Captain
Bruno Fernandes AM Man United · 80+ caps · 30 G
Bernardo Silva AM Man City · 95+ caps
Rafael Leão LW AC Milan · 30+ caps
Vitinha CM PSG · 30+ caps
Croatia
Luka Modrić CM AC Milan · 185+ caps · 27 G · Captain
Mateo Kovačić CM Man City · 100+ caps
Joško Gvardiol CB Man City · 35+ caps
Andrej Kramarić ST Hoffenheim · 100+ caps · 30 G

Injuries

Portugal
None reported
Croatia
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: BMO Field
Capacity: 45,000
Toronto's BMO Field, expanded for the tournament, is an open-air ground with mild early-summer conditions that suit a high tempo.
Weather: Mid-June Toronto: mild, ~20–25°C.

Suspensions

Portugal
None reported
Croatia
None reported

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