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🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Congo DR – Uzbekistan Prediction and Betting Tips

Congo DR national football team logo
Congo DR
L D L D W
vs
19:30
27 Jun · Sat
Uzbekistan national football team logo
Uzbekistan
L L L L D
Kick-off: 19:30 local (27 Jun) · 23:30 UTC Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium Referee: F. Zwayer
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.92odds

Two sides short of attacking quality, one defending a slim hope, points to a tense, low-scoring decider under 2.5 goals.

Back this tip
Win 1 54%
DR Congo to win
1.82 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 64%
Uzbekistan under 1.5 goals
1.27 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 60%
DR Congo to score
1.54 odds
Total:Under: 2.0 58%
Under 2.0 goals
2.78 odds
DR Congo and Uzbekistan meet at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in a Group K finale both must win to keep any hope alive, with both group fixtures kicking off at the same time.

DR Congo's survival mission

DR Congo sit on one point after a battling 1-1 draw with Portugal and a narrow 0-1 defeat to Colombia, a game in which their goalkeeper produced eight saves to keep them in it. Only a win — allied to a favourable result in the other Group K match — can keep them in the tournament. They have defended stoutly throughout but found goals hard to come by, and will need to strike a careful balance between ambition and discipline in Atlanta, knowing one mistake could end their campaign.

Uzbekistan out but free to play

Uzbekistan, debutants at the World Cup, are already eliminated after a 1-3 defeat to Colombia and a 0-5 hammering by Portugal, conceding eight across the two games. With nothing left to lose, they may play with greater freedom and ambition than the scoreline of their group suggests, but a side that has struggled both to score and to keep others out faces a DR Congo team desperate for the win their campaign demands, and unlikely to take risks.

Our forecast: a tight, low-scoring affair

With both sides short of goals and DR Congo wary of overcommitting, our forecast leans low: under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle. Around it, a DR Congo win reflects their need and home advantage, Uzbekistan are tipped to stay under 1.5, and DR Congo are backed to score.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
Congo DRDrawUzbekistan
Congo DR
Home win
54%
Draw
No bet
25%
Uzbekistan
Away win
21%
Congo DR — recent matches
24 Jun 2026 Colombia 0 — 1 L
17 Jun 2026 Portugal 1 — 1 D
09 Jun 2026 Chile 1 — 2 L
03 Jun 2026 Denmark 0 — 0 D
31 Mar 2026 Jamaica 1 — 0 W
Uzbekistan — recent matches
23 Jun 2026 Portugal 0 — 5 L
18 Jun 2026 Colombia 1 — 3 L
08 Jun 2026 Netherlands 1 — 2 L
02 Jun 2026 Canada 0 — 2 L
30 Mar 2026 Venezuela 0 — 0 D

Key Players

Congo DR
Chancel Mbemba CB Lille · 80+ caps · Captain
Cédric Bakambu ST Real Betis · 45+ caps · 19 G
Yoane Wissa LW Brentford · 25+ caps
Théo Bongonda RW Spartak Moscow · 30+ caps
Uzbekistan
Eldor Shomurodov ST Roma · 50+ caps · 24 G · Captain
Abbosbek Fayzullaev AM CSKA Moscow · 25+ caps
Khusayin Norchaev ST Riga FC · 20+ caps
Otabek Shukurov CM Sepahan · 40+ caps

Injuries

Congo DR
None reported
Uzbekistan
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Capacity: 71,000
Atlanta's Mercedes-Benz Stadium has a roof that is expected to close against Georgia heat and humidity, giving fast, dry, climate-controlled conditions.
Weather: Roof likely closed; outside hot/humid, ~31°C.

Suspensions

Congo DR
None reported
Uzbekistan
None reported

Expected Lineups

Pending
⏳

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Group Standings

# Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Portugal 2 1 1 0 +5 4
3 Congo DR ★ 2 0 1 1 -1 1
4 Uzbekistan ★ 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Odds

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
40 winning forecasts · 67% accuracy
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up AI’s choice Best odds 1.80 4.45 4.80 Bet now
William Hill 1.73 4.00 4.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.70 4.10 4.50 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.73 4.25 4.40 Bet now
Unibet 1.64 4.40 4.70 Bet now
Betfair 1.75 4.00 4.60 Bet now
BetVictor 1.70 3.75 4.75 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.74 4.22 4.38 Bet now

Other Group K matches

MD1
Portugal1–1Congo DRLANDEDUzbekistan1–3ColombiaLANDED
MD2
Portugal5–0UzbekistanLANDEDColombia1–0Congo DRLANDED
MD3
ColombiavPortugalJun 27 · 23:30 UTC

Team’s other matches

Congo DR
Portugal1–1Congo DRLANDEDColombia1–0Congo DRLANDED
Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan1–3ColombiaLANDEDPortugal5–0UzbekistanLANDED

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