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Brazil 1–1 Morocco
13 Jun · Sat · MetLife Stadium
Our top forecastUnder 2.5 goals
✓ CORRECT

Match summary

Brazil and Morocco drew 1-1 at MetLife Stadium in their Group C opener. Ismael Saibari put Morocco ahead in the 21st minute before Vinícius Júnior equalised for Brazil 11 minutes later. Neither side could find a winner in the second half. The result leaves both teams on one point in Group C, with Haiti and Scotland playing each other on 14 June to complete matchday 1. Our top forecast — under 2.5 goals — landed, with the tight contest producing just two.

Group C standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brazil3210+67
2Morocco3210+37
3Scotland3102-33
4Haiti3003-60
Brazil: next match →Morocco: next match →
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Brazil – Morocco Prediction and Betting Tips

Brazil national football team logo
Brazil
W W W L L
vs
18:00
13 Jun · Sat
Morocco national football team logo
Morocco
D W W W D
Kick-off: 18:00 local (13 Jun) · 22:00 UTC Venue: MetLife Stadium Referee: Slavko Vinčić (Slovenia)
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.85odds

Morocco conceded only about 0.5 goals per game in their recent run while Brazil are without Neymar and Rodrygo, pointing to a controlled, low-scoring contest.

Back this tip
1X 60%
Brazil or draw
2.55 odds
Total:Under: 3.0 75%
Under 3.0 goals
1.54 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 72%
Brazil over 0.5 goals
1.17 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 63%
Morocco under 1.5 goals
1.19 odds
A genuine heavyweight tie opens proceedings for both nations as Brazil face Morocco, a rematch of the 2023 friendly that announced the Atlas Lions as a side capable of beating anyone. With group qualification at stake from the first whistle, expect a measured contest in which neither side commits recklessly. The 2010 generation of Brazilian flair meets a Morocco team built on defensive certainty, and that contrast frames the night.

Brazil carrying goals but missing key attackers

Brazil arrive in good touch, scoring freely across their last five: a 6-2 win over Panama, a 3-1 victory against Croatia, a 1-2 loss to France, a 1-1 draw with Tunisia and a 2-0 win over Senegal. That averages 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, though the heaviest returns came against weaker opposition. The attack is reshaped by absence: Neymar is expected to miss out with a calf strain, Rodrygo is ruled out after knee surgery, and Estevao was left off the squad. Vinicius Junior, Raphinha and Casemiro still give the side a formidable core.

Morocco arrive miserly and confident

Morocco have been ruthless against modest opponents, winning four of their recent games — 4-0 over Madagascar, 5-0 against Burundi, 2-1 versus Paraguay and a 1-1 draw with Ecuador — conceding just twice across that run for an average of around 0.5 against. Captain Achraf Hakimi carries a thigh problem and is a doubt, while Youssef En-Nesyri and Hakim Ziyech were left out of the final squad. Brahim Diaz and Ayoub El Kaabi spearhead a team that defends as a unit and strikes on transition.

Prediction: tight margins between two cautious giants

The sides are level historically, Morocco's 2-1 win in 2023 cancelling out Brazil's 3-0 at the 1998 World Cup. The Brazil versus Morocco prediction leans on the meeting of Brazil's reshuffled attack and Morocco's miserly defence rather than a comfortable home-style win, so the total staying under 2.5 goals carries value in a contest both will want to control. Around that, Brazil's overall quality points to a Brazil-or-draw double chance, the cagey shape favours the total staying under 3.0, Brazil — scorers in all five — look likely to register over 0.5, and Morocco, facing far stronger opposition than recently, are tipped to stay under 1.5.
Brazil — recent matches
06 Jun 2026 Egypt 2 — 1 W
31 May 2026 Panama 6 — 2 W
01 Apr 2026 Croatia 3 — 1 W
26 Mar 2026 France 1 — 2 L
09 Sep 2025 Bolivia 0 — 1 L
Morocco — recent matches
07 Jun 2026 Norway 1 — 1 D
02 Jun 2026 Madagascar 4 — 0 W
26 May 2026 Burundi 5 — 0 W
31 Mar 2026 Paraguay 2 — 1 W
27 Mar 2026 Ecuador 1 — 1 D
25.03.2023 Morocco vs Brazil 2 — 1

Key Players

Brazil
Vinícius Júnior LW Real Madrid · 35+ caps · 5 G
Rodrygo RW Real Madrid · 30+ caps · 7 G
Marquinhos CB PSG · 90+ caps · Captain
Bruno Guimarães CM Newcastle · 40+ caps
Endrick ST Real Madrid · 15+ caps · 4 G
Morocco
Achraf Hakimi RB PSG · 80+ caps · 11 G
Hakim Ziyech AM Al-Duhail · 60+ caps
Sofyan Amrabat CDM Fiorentina · 60+ caps
Youssef En-Nesyri ST Fenerbahçe · 75+ caps · 25 G
Romain Saïss CB Damac · 70+ caps · Captain

Injuries

Brazil
Neymar Returning from long-term knee injury Doubtful
Morocco
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Capacity: 82,500
A vast open-air bowl — the tournament's final venue — with little cover; conditions are typically mild but the large pitch suits expansive play.
Weather: Mid-June New York area: ~24–28°C, humid.

Suspensions

Brazil
None reported
Morocco
None reported

Other Group C matches

MD1
Haiti0–1ScotlandLANDED
MD2
Scotland0–1MoroccoLANDEDBrazil3–0HaitiLANDED
MD3
Morocco4–2HaitiLANDEDScotland0–3BrazilLANDED
MD32
BrazilvJapanJun 29 · 17:00 UTCNetherlandsvMoroccoJun 30 · 01:00 UTC

Team’s other matches

Brazil
Brazil3–0HaitiLANDEDScotland0–3BrazilLANDED
Morocco
Scotland0–1MoroccoLANDEDMorocco4–2HaitiLANDED

Latest AI Predictions

Türkiye3–2USAMISSEDParaguay0–0AustraliaLANDEDJapan1–1SwedenMISSEDTunisia1–3NetherlandsLANDEDEcuador2–1GermanyMISSED
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