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Canada 11 Bosnia & Herzegovina
12 Jun · Fri · BMO Field
Our top forecastUnder 2.5 goals
✓ CORRECT

Match summary

Canada drew 1-1 with Bosnia & Herzegovina at BMO Field on matchday 1. Jovo Lukić put Bosnia ahead in the 21st minute before Cyle Larin equalised on 78. The result leaves both sides on one point in Group B ahead of Qatar vs Switzerland on 13 June, with both teams next playing on 18 June (Canada-Qatar, Switzerland-Bosnia). Our top forecast — under 2.5 goals — landed, with the game producing just two.

Group B standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland3210+47
2Canada3111+54
3Bosnia & Herzegovina3111-14
4Qatar3012-81
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Canada – Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction and Betting Tips

Canada national football team logo
Canada
D W D D W
vs
15:00
12 Jun · Fri
Bosnia & Herzegovina national football team logo
Bosnia & Herzegovina
D D
Kick-off: 15:00 local (12 Jun) · 19:00 UTC Venue: BMO Field Referee: Facundo Tello (Argentina)
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.76odds

Bosnia's recent matches were low-scoring at both ends and Canada are without Alphonso Davies from the start, pointing to a controlled, tight opener.

Back this tip
1X 60%
Canada or draw
2.38 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 66%
Bosnia and Herzegovina under 1.5 goals
1.21 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 70%
Canada over 0.5 goals
1.22 odds
Total:Under: 3.0 76%
Under 3.0 goals
1.51 odds
Canada open on home soil against Bosnia and Herzegovina, a meeting of a rising co-host and a battle-hardened European side that qualified the hard way. Both will see this as a winnable group opener, which often breeds caution rather than abandon. With seeding implications immediate, expect a measured contest decided by fine margins.

Canada lively but loose at the back

Canada arrive in reasonable touch: a 2-0 win over Uzbekistan, a 0-0 draw with Tunisia, a 2-2 draw with Iceland, a 6-0 rout of Honduras and a goalless draw with Ivory Coast. Those games average around 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded, hinting at a side that creates but can be opened up. Captain Alphonso Davies is in the squad but is unlikely to start the opener as he manages his return from injury, a significant absence on the left. Jonathan David leads the line, with Moise Bombito anchoring the defence.

Bosnia low-scoring but resilient

Bosnia reached the finals through the playoffs, edging Italy and Wales on penalties after 1-1 draws, then drawing 0-0 with North Macedonia in their warm-up. Their recent matches have been tight and low on goals, averaging well under one at each end across a small sample. Veteran captain Edin Dzeko remains the focal point at 40, with PSV's Esmir Bajraktarevic an emerging threat and Haris Tabakovic offering presence up front. No major absentees were reported in the squad.

Prediction: a tight, low-scoring opener

The teams have never met, so recent profiles guide the read. The Canada versus Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction leans on Bosnia's low-scoring run and Canada's missing creativity without Davies from the start, so the total staying under 2.5 goals offers value in a cagey first match. Around it, a Canada-or-draw double chance reflects home advantage, Bosnia are tipped to stay under 1.5 given their blunt attack, Canada look likely to register over 0.5, and the total staying under 3.0 fits the cautious shape.
Canada — recent matches
05 Jun 2026 Rep. Of Ireland 1 — 1 D
02 Jun 2026 Uzbekistan 2 — 0 W
31 Mar 2026 Tunisia 0 — 0 D
28 Mar 2026 Iceland 2 — 2 D
18 Jan 2026 Guatemala 1 — 0 W
Bosnia & Herzegovina — recent matches
06 Jun 2026 Panama 1 — 1 D
29 May 2026 FYR Macedonia 0 — 0 D
Limited recent international matches

H2H

These sides have not met at senior level.

Key Players

Canada
Alphonso Davies LB Real Madrid · 50+ caps · Captain
Jonathan David ST Juventus · 55+ caps · 30 G
Stephen Eustáquio CM Porto · 35+ caps
Tajon Buchanan RW Inter Milan · 30+ caps
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Edin Džeko ST Fenerbahçe · 130+ caps · 65 G · Captain
Miralem Pjanić CM CSKA Moscow · 110+ caps
Sead Kolašinac LB Atalanta · 60+ caps
Ermedin Demirović ST Stuttgart · 25+ caps

Injuries

Canada
None reported
Bosnia & Herzegovina
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: BMO Field
Capacity: 45,000
Toronto's BMO Field, expanded for the tournament, is an open-air ground with mild early-summer conditions that suit a high tempo.
Weather: Mid-June Toronto: mild, ~20–25°C.

Suspensions

Canada
None reported
Bosnia & Herzegovina
None reported

Other Group B matches

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