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South Africa 10 South Korea
24 Jun · Wed · Estadio BBVA
Our top forecastUnder 2.5 goals
✓ CORRECT

South Africa reach the knockouts for the first time

South Africa produced a landmark result, beating South Korea 1-0 at the Estadio BBVA in Monterrey to reach the World Cup knockout stage for the first time in their history. Thapelo Maseko's goal settled a tight contest and lifted Bafana Bafana to second in Group A. Sixteen years on from a home tournament in 2010 that ended in group-stage heartbreak, South Africa have at last broken new ground, their disciplined and well-organised performance frustrating a South Korea side that never found its rhythm.

For a proud footballing nation that had waited so long for this moment, the final whistle sparked scenes of unrestrained joy. This was a victory built not on flair but on structure, unity and belief — the hallmarks of a team that has quietly become one of the stories of the group stage.

Maseko decides a tense affair

This was a contest of fine margins, settled by Thapelo Maseko's decisive strike. South Africa set up to defend deep and break quickly, and the plan worked to perfection: solid and compact without the ball, dangerous in transition with it. South Korea, meanwhile, were shorn of their usual spark, with Son Heung-min named only among the substitutes — the first time he had not started a World Cup match since 2010. When Son did appear, the game's complexion did not change, South Africa's defenders standing firm to protect a precious lead and secure a historic clean sheet against opponents who grew increasingly frustrated.

A first for Bafana Bafana, and questions for Son's coach

For South Africa, this was uncharted territory and a moment to savour. The nation had never previously survived the World Cup group stage — not even in 2010, when they became the first hosts to be eliminated in the first round. Reaching the last 32 abroad, against a more fancied South Korea, reflects the strides made by a resilient, defensively assured team. For South Korea, the focus will fall on Hong Myung-bo's surprise decision to leave Son Heung-min out of the XI, a gamble that did not pay off and leaves them dependent on the best-third-placed standings to keep their tournament alive.

Runners-up South Africa drawn towards Canada

Second place in Group A, behind a Mexico side that won all three games, sends South Africa to a Round of 32 meeting with Canada — runners-up in Group B — in Los Angeles on June 28. South Korea drop to third and must wait to see whether their points are enough to sneak through, while Mexico's perfect campaign tops the section. For South Africa, a first knockout appearance is a richly deserved reward for unity and organisation, and a result that will resonate far beyond this tournament. Our forecast of under 2.5 goals landed, with just one goal in South Africa's 1-0 win.

Group A standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico3300+69
2South Africa3111-14
3South Korea3102-13
4Czech Republic3012-41
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

South Africa – South Korea Prediction and Betting Tips

South Africa national football team logo
South Africa
D L D D L
vs
19:00
24 Jun · Wed
South Korea national football team logo
South Korea
L W W W L
Kick-off: 19:00 local (24 Jun) · 01:00 UTC Venue: Estadio BBVA Referee: Facundo Tello (Argentina)
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.81odds

South Korea will manage a decider they need only draw and South Africa have looked blunt, pointing to a contained, low-scoring game.

Back this tip
X2 64%
South Korea or draw
2.54 odds
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 66%
South Africa under 1.5 goals
1.20 odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 70%
South Korea to score
1.17 odds
Total:Under: 2.0 58%
Under 2.0 goals
2.58 odds
South Africa host South Korea at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey in a Group A decider where both sides still have something to play for.

South Korea in the driving seat

South Korea sit on three points after a 2-1 win over Czechia and a narrow 0-1 defeat to Mexico; a win or draw likely carries them through. Organised and dangerous on the break, they will control the tempo rather than chase. They arrive with no major absentees reported.

South Africa must win

South Africa, on one point after a 1-1 draw with Czechia and a 0-2 loss to Mexico, must win and overhaul goal difference. The problem is a blunt attack — one goal in two — against a side built to frustrate.

Our forecast: a tight, low-scoring decider

With South Korea managing the game and South Africa short of goals, our forecast leans to a cagey contest: under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle. Around it, South Korea to avoid defeat reflects their edge, the hosts are tipped to stay under 1.5, and South Korea are backed to score.
South Africa — recent matches
18 Jun 2026 Czechia 1 — 1 D
11 Jun 2026 Mexico 0 — 2 L
06 Jun 2026 Jamaica 1 — 1 D
29 May 2026 Nicaragua 0 — 0 D
31 Mar 2026 Panama 1 — 2 L
South Korea — recent matches
19 Jun 2026 Mexico 0 — 1 L
12 Jun 2026 Czechia 2 — 1 W
04 Jun 2026 El Salvador 1 — 0 W
31 May 2026 Trinidad and Tobago 5 — 0 W
31 Mar 2026 Austria 0 — 1 L

Squad Availability

Injured · Suspended

South Africa

T. Mokoena

South Korea

No reported absences

Key Players

South Africa
Ronwen Williams GK Sundowns · Captain
Percy Tau AM Al Ahly · 50+ caps · 12 G
Themba Zwane CM Sundowns · 40+ caps
Lebo Mothiba ST Sturm Graz · 25+ caps · 8 G
South Korea
Son Heung-min LW LAFC · 130+ caps · 51 G · Captain
Kim Min-jae CB Bayern · 65+ caps
Hwang Hee-chan ST Wolves · 60+ caps · 13 G
Lee Kang-in AM PSG · 30+ caps

Injuries

South Africa
Lyle Foster Back issue Doubtful
South Korea
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Estadio BBVA
Capacity: 53,500
Altitude: 540m above sea level
Monterrey is among the hottest host cities — daytime kick-offs can exceed 30°C, putting a premium on hydration and squad depth.
Weather: Mid-June: hot and dry, frequently 32°C+ in daytime.

Suspensions

South Africa
None reported
South Korea
None reported

Other Group A matches

Team’s other matches

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