X2
Egypt or draw
60% confidence
1.16odds
Egypt's greater quality favours them to avoid defeat against a spirited but leaky New Zealand.
Back this tip
New Zealand
1–3
Egypt
Our top forecastEgypt or draw
✓ CORRECT
Match summary
Egypt earned their first World Cup victory in 92 years with a 3-1 comeback win over New Zealand at BC Place in Vancouver. Finn Surman headed the All Whites ahead from a corner in the 15th minute, but Egypt transformed after the break. Mostafa Zico levelled with a powerful header (58'), and Mohamed Salah completed the turnaround (67') — at 34 years and seven days, becoming the oldest Egyptian scorer in World Cup history. Substitute Trezeguet sealed the win in the 82nd minute, turning home a Salah corner. Egypt's first World Cup win since their tournament debut in 1934 takes them to the top of Group G on four points; a draw against Iran in matchday three will confirm their place in the knockout stage. A perfect call: all four of our AI models landed — Claude (Egypt or draw), ChatGPT (over 1.5 goals), Gemini (New Zealand to score) and DeepSeek (Egypt to score) were all correct in a 3-1 win. The sixteenth perfect prediction of the tournament.
Group G standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 5 |
| 2 |  Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 |  Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 |  New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
What we predicted before the match
New Zealand – Egypt Prediction and Betting Tips
New Zealand
D
L
L
W
L
vs
18:00
21 Jun · Sun
Egypt
D
L
W
D
W
Kick-off: 18:00 local (21 Jun) · 01:00 UTC Venue: BC Place
Referee: Omar Mohamed Al Ali
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Total:Over: 1.5
74%
Over 1.5 goals
1.34 odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
66%
Egypt to score
1.16 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
62%
New Zealand to score
1.75 odds
Total:Over: 2.5
50%
Over 2.5 goals
2.07 odds
New Zealand spirited but leaky
New Zealand twice took the lead against Iran through an attacking, direct display, only to be pegged back to 2-2. They carry a genuine goal threat and will not lack for effort, but they also conceded twice and may be vulnerable against a quality opponent. They arrive with no major absentees reported and belief from a battling point.Egypt organised and dangerous
Egypt held the lead for nearly 50 minutes against higher-ranked Belgium before being pegged back by an own goal, a performance that underlined their organisation and counterattacking threat. They look the more polished side and will fancy their chances of taking control. They arrive with no major absentees reported.Prediction: Egypt to avoid defeat
With Egypt the more accomplished side and New Zealand prone to conceding, the New Zealand versus Egypt prediction leans toward Egypt not losing: an Egypt-or-draw double chance reads as the value angle. Around it, the match passing over 1.5 fits two attacking sides, both teams are tipped to score, and Egypt are backed to find the net against a leaky New Zealand.New Zealand — recent matches
16 Jun 2026
Iran
2 — 2
D
06 Jun 2026
England
0 — 1
L
03 Jun 2026
Haiti
0 — 4
L
30 Mar 2026
Chile
4 — 1
W
27 Mar 2026
Finland
0 — 2
L
Egypt — recent matches
15 Jun 2026
Belgium
1 — 1
D
06 Jun 2026
Brazil
1 — 2
L
28 May 2026
Russia
1 — 0
W
31 Mar 2026
Spain
0 — 0
D
27 Mar 2026
Saudi Arabia
4 — 0
W
22.03.2024
Egypt vs New Zealand
1 — 0
Key Players
New Zealand
Chris Wood
ST
Marko Stamenić
CM
Ben Old
AM
Tyler Bindon
CB
Egypt
Mohamed Salah
RW
Omar Marmoush
ST
Mostafa Mohamed
ST
Mohamed Elneny
CM
Injuries
New Zealand
None reported
Egypt
None reported
Venue · Context
Stadium: BC Place
Capacity: 54,500
BC Place's retractable roof and temperate Vancouver climate make for comfortable, predictable conditions with no heat or rain interference.
Weather: Mild, ~18–22°C; roof shelters from any rain.
Suspensions
New Zealand
None reported
Egypt
None reported