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Egypt – Iran Prediction and Betting Tips

Egypt national football team logo
Egypt
W D L W D
vs
20:00
26 Jun · Fri
Iran national football team logo
Iran
D D D W W
Kick-off: 20:00 local (26 Jun) · 03:00 UTC Venue: Lumen Field Referee: S. Marciniak
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.48odds

A cautious Egypt defending the point they need against a tight Iran side points to a tense, low-scoring decider under 2.5 goals.

Back this tip
1X 64%
Egypt or draw
1.97 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 66%
Iran under 1.5 goals
1.23 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 68%
Egypt to score
1.37 odds
Total:Under: 2.0 58%
Under 2.0 goals
1.89 odds
Egypt and Iran meet at Lumen Field in a Group G finale where a single point would send the hosts through as group winners, and where all four teams remain in contention with both Group G fixtures kicking off at the same time.

Egypt's historic high

Egypt arrive on four points and top of the group after a stirring 3-1 comeback win over New Zealand — their first World Cup victory in 92 years, since their tournament debut back in 1934. After opening with a 1-1 draw against Belgium, that result transformed their campaign and put qualification firmly in their own hands. A draw against Iran would confirm their place in the knockout stage regardless of events elsewhere. Buoyant, organised and in control of their own fate, they will fancy their chances in front of a charged Seattle crowd. They arrive with no major absentees reported.

Iran must win

Iran sit on two points after a 2-2 draw with New Zealand and a hard-earned goalless stalemate with Belgium, a night in which their veteran goalkeeper produced seven saves to keep them in the tournament. Only a victory guarantees their progress, which means taking the game to an Egypt side that needs only a point — a difficult balance between ambition and the risk of leaving gaps at the back against opponents happy to sit in.

Our forecast: a tense, low-scoring decider

With Egypt content to defend the draw they need and Iran wary of overcommitting, our forecast leans low: under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle in what shapes as a cagey, nervous contest. Around it, Egypt to avoid defeat reflects their commanding position, Iran are tipped to stay under 1.5 given their modest return in front of goal, and Egypt are backed to score on the counter.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
EgyptDrawIran
Egypt
Home win
38%
Draw
No bet
37%
Iran
Away win
25%
Egypt — recent matches
22 Jun 2026 New Zealand 3 — 1 W
15 Jun 2026 Belgium 1 — 1 D
06 Jun 2026 Brazil 1 — 2 L
28 May 2026 Russia 1 — 0 W
31 Mar 2026 Spain 0 — 0 D
Iran — recent matches
21 Jun 2026 Belgium 0 — 0 D
16 Jun 2026 New Zealand 2 — 2 D
11 Jun 2026 Grenada 0 — 0 D
04 Jun 2026 Mali 2 — 0 W
29 May 2026 Gambia 3 — 1 W

Squad Availability

✚ Injured · ■ Suspended

Egypt

■Hossam Abdelmaguid

Iran

No reported absences

Key Players

Egypt
Mohamed Salah RW Liverpool · 100+ caps · 55 G · Captain
Omar Marmoush ST Man City · 30+ caps · 12 G
Mostafa Mohamed ST Nantes · 30+ caps
Mohamed Elneny CM Al-Jazira · 100+ caps
Iran
Mehdi Taremi ST Inter Milan · 90+ caps · 50 G
Sardar Azmoun ST Shabab Al-Ahli · 80+ caps · 50 G
Alireza Jahanbakhsh RW Heerenveen · 80+ caps
Ehsan Hajsafi LB AEK Athens · 130+ caps · Captain

Injuries

Egypt
None reported
Iran
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Lumen Field
Capacity: 69,000
Seattle's Lumen Field is open-air with a famously loud crowd; the mild Pacific-Northwest climate keeps conditions fresh.
Weather: Mid-June Seattle: mild, ~18–23°C.

Suspensions

Egypt
None reported
Iran
None reported

Expected Lineups

Pending
⏳

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Group Standings

# Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt ★ 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Iran ★ 2 0 2 0 0 2
3 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
4 New Zealand 2 0 1 1 -2 1

Odds

Egypt vs Iran
40 winning forecasts · 67% accuracy
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up AI’s choice Best odds 2.65 2.80 4.16 Bet now
William Hill 2.45 2.75 3.25 Bet now
Bet365 2.38 2.70 3.80 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.51 2.52 3.95 Bet now
Unibet 2.35 2.60 4.10 Bet now
Betfair 2.60 2.70 3.40 Bet now
BetVictor 2.40 2.60 3.75 Bet now
Pinnacle 2.53 2.53 4.11 Bet now

Other Group G matches

MD1
Belgium1–1EgyptLANDEDIran2–2New ZealandLANDED
MD2
Belgium0–0IranLANDEDNew Zealand1–3EgyptLANDED
MD3
New ZealandvBelgiumJun 27 · 03:00 UTC

Team’s other matches

Egypt
Belgium1–1EgyptLANDEDNew Zealand1–3EgyptLANDED
Iran
Iran2–2New ZealandLANDEDBelgium0–0IranLANDED

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