Total:Under: 2.5
Under 2.5 goals
60% confidence
1.67odds
Cape Verde's deep block and Uruguay's lack of attacking rhythm point to a low-scoring game.
Back this tip
Uruguay
2–2
Cape Verde Islands
Our top forecastUnder 2.5 goals
✗ INCORRECT
Match summary
Cape Verde Islands continued their historic World Cup run, holding Uruguay to a 2-2 draw at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami and earning their second point of the tournament. Kevin Pina opened the scoring in the 21st minute with Cape Verde's first ever World Cup goal — a 34-yard free-kick that found the bottom corner. Maxi Araújo equalised before half-time (44') and Agustín Canobbio completed the comeback deep in stoppage time (45+6'). Hélio Varela struck shortly after coming off the bench (61') to send Cape Verde — the smallest nation ever to qualify for a World Cup — back into the contest. Uruguay sit on two points, level with Cape Verde, behind Spain. Only one of our four AI models called it: DeepSeek (Uruguay over 1.5) landed in a 2-2 draw. Claude (Uruguay to win), ChatGPT (under 2.5 goals) and Gemini (Cape Verde under 1.5) all missed as Cape Verde fought back for a historic point.
What we predicted before the match
Uruguay – Cape Verde Islands Prediction and Betting Tips
Uruguay
D
D
D
D
W
vs
18:00
21 Jun · Sun
Cape Verde Islands
D
W
W
D
L
Kick-off: 18:00 local (21 Jun) · 22:00 UTC Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Referee: Espen Eskås
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Win 1
58%
Uruguay to win
1.46 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
Cape Verde under 1.5 goals
1.09 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
76%
Uruguay to score
1.15 odds
1X
82%
Uruguay or draw
1.13 odds
Uruguay searching for fluency
Uruguay were held to a 1-1 draw by Saudi Arabia, trailing for much of the game before rescuing a point late. The quality is there throughout the side, but they lacked rhythm in attack and will need more against a stubborn opponent. They arrive with no major absentees reported and a clear need to win to take control of Group H.Cape Verde defending in numbers
Cape Verde Islands produced the story of matchday one, holding Spain to a goalless draw with their goalkeeper making a string of saves on his World Cup debut. They are built on discipline and deep defending rather than attacking output, and will set up to frustrate again. They arrive with no major absentees reported and belief restored.Prediction: a tight, low-scoring contest
With Cape Verde defending deep and Uruguay short of attacking fluency, the Uruguay versus Cape Verde Islands prediction leans toward a contained game: the total staying under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle. Around it, a Uruguay win reflects their quality edge, Cape Verde are tipped to stay under 1.5, Uruguay are backed to score, and a Uruguay-or-draw double chance covers the likeliest outcomes.Uruguay — recent matches
15 Jun 2026
Saudi Arabia
1 — 1
D
31 Mar 2026
Algeria
0 — 0
D
27 Mar 2026
England
1 — 1
D
09 Sep 2025
Chile
0 — 0
D
04 Sep 2025
Peru
3 — 0
W
Cape Verde Islands — recent matches
15 Jun 2026
Spain
0 — 0
D
06 Jun 2026
Bermuda
3 — 0
W
31 May 2026
Serbia
3 — 0
W
30 Mar 2026
Finland
1 — 1
D
27 Mar 2026
Chile
2 — 4
L
Key Players
Uruguay
Federico Valverde
CM
Darwin Núñez
ST
Ronald Araújo
CB
Manuel Ugarte
CDM
Cape Verde Islands
Ryan Mendes
AM
Bryan Teixeira
AM
Jovane Cabral
LW
Stopira
LB
Injuries
Uruguay
None reported
Cape Verde Islands
None reported
Venue · Context
Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Capacity: 65,000
Miami's heat and humidity are among the tournament's most testing; the stadium canopy shades seats but the pitch stays hot and sticky.
Weather: Mid-June Miami: hot and very humid, ~31°C, storm risk.
Suspensions
Uruguay
None reported
Cape Verde Islands
None reported