Today's standout forecast · 9+ rating — see who we're backing →
Full-time
Algeria 33 Austria
27 Jun · Sat · Arrowhead Stadium
Our top forecastUnder 2.5 goals
✗ INCORRECT

Six-goal thriller sends Algeria and Austria through

Algeria and Austria served up a breathless 3-3 draw at Arrowhead Stadium, a wild contest that carried both nations into the knockout rounds and eliminated Iran from the best-third reckoning. End-to-end and packed with quality finishing, the game swung repeatedly, but the point ultimately suited both sides as they booked their places in the last 32.

How it unfolded: a screamer, a record and a post struck

Marcel Sabitzer lit up the night with a stunning long-range strike for Austria, while Algeria hit back through Rafik Belghali, who jinked past three defenders, and a late leveller from captain Riyad Mahrez, set up by Houssem Aouar. Austria also scored through veteran Marko Arnautovic — at 37 years and 58 days the oldest scorer of the tournament so far — with a third goal apiece keeping the game level. Algeria came closest to a winner when Fares Chaibi struck the post late, but 3-3 it stayed.

Context: high stakes behind the chaos

The draw confirmed qualification for both teams and, crucially, pushed Iran out of the best-third places — a cruel end for a side that gave plenty in Group G. Algeria's attacking verve through Belghali and Mahrez marks them as a side capable of hurting anyone, while Ralf Rangnick's Austria mix power and experience, typified by Arnautovic's record-setting strike. Both will reflect on the finest of margins, with Chaibi's post the pivotal moment that could have changed the night entirely. For all the chaos, it was the kind of open, attacking spectacle the tournament thrives on.

The table: both advance, Iran out

Austria finished second in Group J on four points and Algeria third on four, behind winners Argentina; Jordan exit at the bottom. Austria meet Spain in the Round of 32, Algeria face Switzerland among the best thirds, while Iran are eliminated. Our forecast of under 2.5 goals missed badly in a six-goal thriller, undone by a wildly open contest neither side sought to control.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Algeria – Austria Prediction and Betting Tips

Algeria national football team logo
Algeria
W L W W D
vs
21:00
27 Jun · Sat
Austria national football team logo
Austria
L W D W W
Kick-off: 21:00 local (27 Jun) · 02:00 UTC Venue: Arrowhead Stadium Referee: I. Tantashev
Top forecast + 4 supporting tips
5 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.37odds

A draw suits Austria and Algeria cannot afford to be open at the back, pointing to a tense, low-scoring decider.

Back this tip
Win 1 54%
Algeria to win
3.93 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 64%
Austria under 1.5 goals
1.32 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 66%
Algeria to score
1.57 odds
Total:Under: 2.0 58%
Under 2.0 goals
1.66 odds
Algeria and Austria meet at Arrowhead Stadium in a Group J finale that will settle second place behind the qualified Argentina, with both group fixtures kicking off at the same time.

Algeria must win

Algeria revived their campaign with a battling 2-1 comeback victory over Jordan, recovering from a 0-3 opening defeat to Argentina, and now sit level with Austria on three points. The catch lies in goal difference: Austria's is the better, so only a win will do for Vladimir Petković's side — a draw sends their opponents through. Backed by a vocal Kansas City crowd and carrying the momentum of that comeback, Algeria will go in search of the goals they need, but must balance ambition against the risk of leaving space at the back.

Austria hold the advantage

Austria beat Jordan 3-1 before losing 0-2 to Argentina, and their superior goal difference means a draw would be enough to carry them into the Round of 32. Ralf Rangnick's well-drilled, disciplined side know exactly what they need and may be content to control the tempo, soak up pressure and protect what they have. That makes them awkward, patient opponents for an Algeria team that has to force the issue — and dangerous on the counter should Algeria over-commit.

Our forecast: a tense, low-scoring decider

With Austria able to play for a draw and Algeria wary of overcommitting, our forecast leans low: under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle in a cagey, knockout-style contest where the first goal could prove decisive. Around it, an Algeria win reflects their urgency and home advantage, Austria are tipped to stay under 1.5 in a controlled display, and Algeria are backed to score as they chase the result they need.
Algeria — recent matches
23 Jun 2026 Jordan 2 — 1 W
17 Jun 2026 Argentina 0 — 3 L
11 Jun 2026 Bolivia 4 — 0 W
03 Jun 2026 Netherlands 1 — 0 W
31 Mar 2026 Uruguay 0 — 0 D
Austria — recent matches
22 Jun 2026 Argentina 0 — 2 L
17 Jun 2026 Jordan 3 — 1 W
11 Jun 2026 Guatemala 0 — 0 D
01 Jun 2026 Tunisia 1 — 0 W
31 Mar 2026 South Korea 1 — 0 W

Squad Availability

Injured · Suspended

Algeria

M. Amoura

Austria

No reported absences

Key Players

Algeria
Riyad Mahrez RW Al-Ahli · 90+ caps · 30 G · Captain
Ismaël Bennacer CM AC Milan · 45+ caps
Saïd Benrahma LW Lyon · 40+ caps
Houssem Aouar AM Roma · 15+ caps
Austria
Marcel Sabitzer CM Dortmund · 80+ caps · 14 G · Captain
David Alaba CB Real Madrid · 100+ caps
Konrad Laimer CDM Bayern · 35+ caps
Marko Arnautović ST Inter · 110+ caps · 36 G

Injuries

Algeria
None reported
Austria
David Alaba Knee recovery Doubtful

Venue · Context

Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
Capacity: 76,000
Kansas City's Arrowhead is open-air, loud and often hot in June — heat and atmosphere both weigh on visiting sides.
Weather: Mid-June: hot, humid, ~30–33°C.

Suspensions

Algeria
None reported
Austria
None reported

Other Group J matches

Team’s other matches

Latest AI Predictions

Every World Cup 2026 match — forecast & analysed

Back the smart money.

Model-driven forecasts for all 104 World Cup 2026 fixtures — group stage to the final. Free, no signup, no noise.